Created Tue 9th Dec 2008 9:10am PST by

balcacer Level 7, Pro (H$4,447)

Illinois Gov. Blagojevich was arrested on Tuesday, will he be convicted?

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Suspend date reached

Background:

Background: Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich was arrested on Tuesday on charges that he brazenly conspired to sell or trade the U.S. Senate seat left vacant by President-elect Barack Obama to the highest bidder.

Blagojevich also was charged with illegally threatening to withhold state assistance to Tribune Co., the owner of the Chicago Tribune, in the sale of Wrigley Field, according to a federal criminal complaint. In return for state assistance, Blagojevich allegedly wanted members of the paper's editorial board who had been critical of him fired.

A 76-page FBI affidavit said the 51-year-old Democratic governor was intercepted on court-authorized wiretaps over the last month conspiring to sell or trade the vacant Senate seat for personal benefits for himself and his wife, Patti.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081209/ap_on_re_us/blagojevich_corruption_probe
Blagojevich also was charged with using his authority as governor in an attempt to squeeze out campaign contributions.

Corruption in the Blagojevich administration has been the focus of a federal investigation involving an alleged $7 million scheme aimed at squeezing kickbacks out of companies seeking business from the state. Federal prosecutors have acknowledged they're also investigating "serious allegations of endemic hiring fraud" under Blagojevich, who has a $177,412 salary, though it's unclear whether he accepts the total.

Clarification: If Blagojevich pleads out, the market will still settle in the affirmative, Blago doesn't have to be convicted on all charges

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source

Forecast history %

Yes

70%

30%

Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Activity: H$135,972
Predictions: 261
Comments: 10

Suspend date: Sat 31st Oct 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Tue 9th Dec 2008 9:10am PST by

balcacer Level 7, Pro (H$4,447)

Changed Settlement info Tue 9th Dec 2008 3:19pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... news source.news.yahoo.com,<,<a href="<a href="http://www.cbsnews.com">http://www.cbsnews.com</a>"><a href="http://www.cbsnews.com&lt">www.cbsnews.com&lt</a>;/a>, foxnews.com,<,<a href="<a href="http://www.abcnews.com">http://www.abcnews.com</a>"><a href="http://www.abcnews.com&lt">www.abcnews.com&lt</a>;/a>

Changed Question text Tue 9th Dec 2008 3:20pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... Illinois Gov. ~~Rod~~ Blagojevich was arrested on Tuesday ,,will he be convicted ??

Changed Settlement info Tue 9th Dec 2008 3:20pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... news source.news.yahoo.com,<a href="<a href="<a href=" ... http://www.cbsnews.com&lt">http://www.cbsnews.com&lt</a>;/a>"><a href="<a href="http://www.cbsnews.com&lt">http://www.cbsnews.com&lt</a>;"><a href="http://www.cbsnews.com&lt">www.cbsnews.com&lt</a>;</a>;/a>, foxnews.com,<a href="<a href="<a href=" ... http://www.abcnews.com&lt">http://www.abcnews.com&lt</a>;/a>"><a href="<a href="http://www.abcnews.com&lt">http://www.abcnews.com&lt</a>;"><a href="http://www.abcnews.com&lt">www.abcnews.com&lt</a>;</a>;/a>

Changed Question text Wed 10th Dec 2008 6:39am PST by

ryanj

: show details

... . Blagojevich was arrested on Tuesday,, will he be convicted?

Changed Settlement info Wed 10th Dec 2008 6:39am PST by

ryanj

: show details

Changed Settlement info Wed 10th Dec 2008 7:05am PST by

ryanj

: show details

Changed Description Fri 12th Dec 2008 7:39am PST by

ryanj

: show details

... Obama to the highest bidder~~. <~~. Blagojevich also was ... been critical of him fired~~. <~~. A 76-page ... himself and his wife, Patti~~. <~~. <a href="http://news. ... /ap/20081209/ap_on_re_us/blagojevich_corruption_probe</a~~> <~~> Blagojevich also was charged ... whether he accepts the total.. Clarification: If Blagojevich pleads out, the market will still settle in the affirmative

Settlement requested Mon 2nd Mar 9:46am PST by

pixelpaws Level 13, Psychic (H$66,817)

: Blagojevich was convicted on January 29 by a 59-0 vote by the Illinois State Senate.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rod_Blagojevich_corruption_charges#Impeachment_vote_and_trial

Settlement requested Tue 30th Jun 8:22pm PST by

Erik

: I've already flagged this, so my option is gone.
Blago has been charged with 16 counts. Must he be convicted on all counts for this to settle as 'Yes'?

Changed Description Thu 2nd Jul 5:33pm PST by

ryanj

: show details

... still settle in the affirmative, Blago doesn't have to be convicted on all charges

Suspended Fri 31st Jul 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Unsuspended Mon 3rd Aug 7:12pm PST by

ryanj

: Case still ongoing

Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Aug 7:12pm PST by

ryanj

: was: "2009-07-31 23:59:00"

Suspended Sat 31st Oct 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

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Suspend date: Sat 31st Oct 11:59pm PST details

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Predictions (261)

6 weeks ago

szklaneoko Level 7, Pro (H$3,263)

predicted No (H$100 at 35%)

6 weeks ago

flamingo Level 11, Legend (H$18,478)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 65%)

7 weeks ago

mona

predicted Yes (H$100 at 72%)

13 weeks ago

alertedclub Level 11, Legend (H$15,217)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 79%)

14 weeks ago

mayank Level 7, Pro (H$3,630)

predicted Yes (H$22 at 79%)

Comments (10)

capecodviking [Power User]

He only has to be convicted of one of the charges for this to settle as a "yes," right?

posted 47 weeks ago

balcacer Level 7, Pro (H$4,447)

Of course !

posted 47 weeks ago

cici

Pleads, no trial?, this is a conviction, right?

posted 47 weeks ago

jsevigny

That's my question. What if he pleads? Does that count as a conviction? Why not rephrase the question with more options:

1) pleads
2) convicted of any or all charges
3) acquitted
4) mistrial

posted 47 weeks ago

coolkraft Level 14, Prophet (H$129,123)

I am beginning to think that Fitzgerald is a jerk..word is he does not have real evidence. He was unable to do anything worthwhile in the Valerie Plame case, ie the vice president who was his real target. He settled for Libby. We all know how that turned out. Seems to me he does not have a credible crime case.

posted 46 weeks ago

robamichael Level 13, Psychic (H$82,358)

well they have him on tape...

posted 44 weeks ago

Erik

Blago has been charged with 16 counts. Must he be convicted on all counts for this to settle as 'Yes'?

posted 18 weeks ago

madbuns Level 12, Guru (H$48,401)

@Erik - At least one count will settle this question as 'Yes.'

posted 16 weeks ago

mvguy

If the case isn't resolved by the time the market is suspended, how does it resolve? Or will the market be extended to give time for the system to play out?

posted 16 weeks ago

mvguy

I received an answer to my question via e-mail. The market will be extended if need be.

posted 16 weeks ago

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