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Will Gordon Brown withdraw his VAT reduction early?

Background: Chancellor Alistair Darling announced in the Pre-Budget Report that the Government was reducing the rate of VAT for 13 months in a bid to help stimulate the economy.

A 2.5% cut in VAT which the Government hopes will provide a boost to the ailing UK economy comes into force. Retailers have been scrambling to complete changes to their pricing systems ahead of the reduction of VAT to 15%.

Will the VAT remain at 15% for the full 13 months, or will there be changes to this plan?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
VAT increased before 1 July 2009
0%
VAT not increased by end of 2009
95%
VAT increased on or after 1 July 2009
5%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (32)

1 week ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted VAT not increased by end of 2009 (H$4,000 at 93%)
10 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted VAT not increased by end of 2009 (H$3,000 at 92%)
17 weeks ago
cfcm77 predicted VAT not increased by end of 2009 (H$100 at 92%)
18 weeks ago
fenricstoast predicted VAT increased on or after 1 July 2009 (H$1 at 8%)
22 weeks ago
jamest predicted VAT not increased by end of 2009 (H$1,000 at 92%)

Comments (4)

  1 tisha[Admin]
I have changed the wording of the outcome options quite significantly to make them mutually exclusive. I have also added background text to explain the question a bit further
posted 49 weeks ago
  2 samcxjo
Can we clarify? If there's a change in Government and subsequent VAT adjustment, will this count as a 'change to the plan'?
posted 49 weeks ago
  3 tisha[Admin]
That's a good point. If there's a change in government and the question has not yet been settled, then the question will have to be voided as Gordon Brown is explicitly named in the question title.
posted 49 weeks ago
  4 bookie
According to press reports retailers and economists are asking the VAT 'increase' be delayed. Some confirmation please - if the current plan to return VAT on 31 December 2009 at midnight stays in place, this is "VAT not increased by end of 2009" - yes? In the spirit of the question itself? as that is my bet...
posted 22 weeks ago

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