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When will North Korean nuclear disarmament talks start again?

Background: North Korea nuclear talks end with no deal

Multilateral talks on getting impoverished North Korea to abandon its nuclear arms programme in exchange for aid and better diplomatic standing ended on Thursday with no agreement.

Analysts say they expect little movement until President George W. Bush leaves office in January and is replaced by Barack Obama.

The longer North Korea delays the disarmament process the more time it has to miniaturise a nuclear weapon so that it can be mounted on a warhead, and the more time it has to work on a second route for developing atomic arms by enriching uranium.

http://www.reuters.com/article/vcCandidateFeed2/idUST224002

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Before 2009
1%
2009
57%
2010
25%
2011+ or never
16%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before 2009: 5%, 2009: 60%, 2010: 25%, 2011+ or never: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 11th Dec 2008 8:22am PST by growthy

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (57)

1 week ago
frogchop predicted 2009 (H$2,500 at 66%)
8 weeks ago
oberon predicted 2010 (H$20 at 25%)
9 weeks ago
freeze predicted 2010 (H$20 at 25%)
12 weeks ago
oberon predicted 2010 (H$50 at 25%)
14 weeks ago
sweet_baby_rye predicted 2009 (H$100 at 58%)

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