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Will Accel use its new $480 million Accel Growth Fund to invest in Facebook by the end of 2009?

Background: The New York Times has just revealed that premier Silicon Valley venture capitalist, Accel Ventures, has raised just raised a cool $1 billion. $480 million of that is for a later stage growth fund which invests in more mature start-ups.

One of Accel's many successes was its $15m investment it made in Facebook back in 2005. Facebook has since raised another $500 million however it employs over 700 people and still doesn't have a working business model.

Silicon Alley Insider is speculating that Accel's $480 million fund will be used to bail out Facebook. However, traditionally investors are barred from using new money to invest in earlier deals so this would be a significant departure.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
50%
No
50%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Fri 12th Dec 2008 9:07am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (9)

5 weeks ago
sdassani predicted No (H$500 at 50%)
13 weeks ago
konterkariert predicted No (H$100 at 49%)
15 weeks ago
stells predicted Yes (H$20 at 51%)
42 weeks ago
irishantoin predicted Yes (H$100 at 51%)
42 weeks ago
dwlt predicted No (H$20 at 50%)

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