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How many times will the Men's 100m world record be broken in 2009?

Background: Many of us saw the amazing sprinting of Usain Bolt in the Olympics, and many other breakings of the world record over the last few years. Although 2009 is a post Olympic year how many times will we see a new Men's 100m world record time.

Only new records to be counted - equalling a current record does not count.

Only ratified records to be counted.

If a record is retracted (usually due to failing dope testing) it will not be counted

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
zero
1%
once
96%
twice
3%
three times or more
1%
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: zero: 25%, once: 25%, twice: 25%, three times or more: 25%

Action history:

Created Sat 13th Dec 2008 6:35pm PST by gazelle

Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 3:59pm PST (1 week to go) details

 

Predictions (35)

3 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted once (H$10,000 at 97%)
4 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted once (H$20 at 89%)
12 weeks ago
anjanajayabandara predicted twice (H$50 at 16%)
13 weeks ago
alertedclub predicted once (H$50 at 78%)
13 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted once (H$3,000 at 62%)

Comments (2)

  1 gilo
GET YOU! Creating your own questions now eh? You're really getting into this aren't you matey?
posted 48 weeks ago
  2 gazelle
It's a good way of keeping abreast of what going on in the real world LOL
posted 48 weeks ago

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score: 10
Usain Bolt still had the Olympic 100 metres medal round his neck when a Jamaican journalist told me in awed tones that he should

the night partying at Quad, a multi-storey nightclub in Kingston. Back on track next day he won the 100m in 9.85, and the 200m a further 24 hours later in 19.87. The world's fastest man will have his first race in Britain on Sunday. Beijing's

score: 10
More news on our athletics site

Olympics 2008 Relive all the action from Beijing with our all-singing, all-dancing special report Most recent Bolt to run 150m on Manchester streets 12 May 2009: Usain Bolt, the triple Olympic

score: 10
Steve Cram: Bolt's burn-up will draw a crowd

Usain Bolts street dash is an attempt to widen the sports appeal. Photograph: Gabriel Bouys/AFP/ Presumably Usain Bolt got a lift to the track last night where he was to complete a training session that should give him the green light to race in

score: 10
Bolt's burn-up down Deansgate may be daft but it will draw a crowd

Usain Bolts street dash is an attempt to widen the sports appeal. Photograph: Gabriel Bouys/AFP/ Presumably Usain Bolt got a lift to the track last night where he was to complete a training session that should give him the green light to race in

score: 10
Usain Bolt's burn-up down Deansgate may be daft but it's bound to draw a crowd, writes Steve Cram

Usain Bolts street dash is an attempt to widen the sports appeal. Photograph: Gabriel Bouys/AFP/ Presumably Usain Bolt got a lift to the track last night where he was to complete a training session that should give him the green light to race in

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