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Australia V South Africa - First wicket mode of dismissal, Australia's 1st Innings

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Background: Predict the mode of dismissal for the first wicket to fall in Australia's first innings. Suspend time is scheduled start of play. 11:30am Local, 1:30pm AEST, 2:30am GMT

Settlement details:As reported by cricinfo

 
Forecast history %
Bowled
12%
Caught Wicket Keeper
20%
Caught Any Other
34%
LBW
20%
Sumped
4%
Run Out
7%
Any Other Method
3%
Settled as Caught Any Other on Tue 16th Dec 2008 7:49pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:30pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 16th Dec 2008 7:49pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Bowled: 11%, Caught Wicket Keeper: 20%, Caught Any Other: 40%, LBW: 18%, Sumped: 3%, Run Out: 7%, Any Other Method: 1%

Action history:

Created Sun 14th Dec 2008 5:39pm PST by australiavotes
Suspended Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:30pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 16th Dec 2008 7:32pm PST by sdassani: Mathey Hayden was the first to get out. He was caught others.

http://content-ind.cricinfo.com/ausvrsa2008_09/engine/current/match/351681.html?view=wickets;wrappertype=mainframe
Settled as 'Caught Any Other' Tue 16th Dec 2008 7:49pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://content-ind.cricinfo.com/ausvrsa2008_09/engine/current/match/351681.html?view=wickets;wrappertype=mainframe

Suspend date: Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:30pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 16th Dec 2008 7:49pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (14)

1 year ago
rufasabagas predicted Caught Wicket Keeper (H$50 at 20%)
1 year ago
joshmartian predicted Caught Any Other (H$50 at 34%)
1 year ago
joshmartian predicted Caught Wicket Keeper (H$50 at 19%)
1 year ago
joshmartian predicted LBW (H$50 at 20%)
1 year ago
the_stranger predicted LBW (H$50 at 19%)

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