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Will Usain Bolt break the 400m world record before Jan 1st 2011

Background: Having broken both the 100m and 200m world records earlier this year, Usain Bolt has now set his sights on Michael Johnson's other world record; the 400m. Bolt's aim is to break that record in 2010. Will he do it?

There are no odds available online so set as 50:50

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
50%
No
50%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 24th Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 15th Dec 2008 12:01pm PST by gazelle
Changed Suspend date Tue 16th Dec 2008 11:56am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: was: "2010-06-16 23:59:00"

Suspend date: Fri 24th Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (28)

8 weeks ago
freeze predicted Yes (H$50 at 50%)
18 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted Yes (H$20 at 50%)
36 weeks ago
alertedclub predicted No (H$20 at 50%)
38 weeks ago
jpkoester1 predicted No (H$333 at 49%)
42 weeks ago
davesov predicted Yes (H$100 at 51%)

Comments (2)

He could do it skipping rope and balancing an egg on his nose.
posted 48 weeks ago
I wish the san diego charger football team would hire him. The Dallas Cowboys did it with Bob Hayes. Fastest man on earth!!!
posted 41 weeks ago

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score: 10
Usain Bolt's burn-up down Deansgate may be daft but it's bound to draw a crowd, writes Steve Cram

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gazelle
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