Created Thu 18th Dec 2008 5:17am PST by

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

Australia Vs South Africa - First man out, SA's 2nd Innings

Settled as Niel McKenzie

http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,24827077-5017925,00.html

Background:

Question created by

Background: Same as before. Pick the first man out. Suspension time is start of play on the 4th day. If Australia lose all their 2nd innings wickets before the question is closed (highly unlikely), predictions made after the loss of the last wicket will be voided.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Graeme Smith

49%

Niel McKenzie

50%

Neither get out.

Settled as Niel McKenzie on Sat 20th Dec 2008 7:17am PST

Activity: H$450
Predictions: 3
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Fri 19th Dec 2008 7pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 20th Dec 2008 7:17am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 19th Dec 2008 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Graeme Smith: 48%, Niel McKenzie: 51%, Neither get out.: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 18th Dec 2008 5:17am PST by

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

Suspended Thu 18th Dec 2008 8pm PST : Suspend date reached

Changed Suspend date Fri 19th Dec 2008 9:10am PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: was: "2008-12-18 20:00:00"

Settlement requested Fri 19th Dec 2008 11:23pm PST by

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

: Niel McKenzie

http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,24827077-5017925,00.html

Settled as 'Niel McKenzie' Sat 20th Dec 2008 7:17am PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,24827077-5017925,00.html

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Predictions (3)

1 year ago

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

predicted Graeme Smith (H$150 at 48%)

1 year ago

punter27_ponting Level 6, Player (H$2,416)

predicted Graeme Smith (H$100 at 47%)

1 year ago

curios predicted Niel McKenzie (H$200 at 52%)

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