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Who will rank the highest in political influence?

Background: This year the Chicago Council on Foreign relations ranked Japan ahead of China, South Korea, North Korea, vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand, etc in cultural, economic, diplomatic and political influence in Asia.
Which Asian country will rank the highest in political influence in 2009 by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations

Settlement details:As reported by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations

 
Forecast history %
Cambodia
1%
China
38%
Japan
48%
North Korea
1%
South Korea
9%
Taiwan
1%
Thailand
1%
Vietnam
1%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Cambodia: 1%, China: 24%, Japan: 58%, North Korea: 2%, South Korea: 12%, Taiwan: 1%, Thailand: 1%, Vietnam: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 18th Dec 2008 3:58pm PST by deanthoreau

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (43)

8 weeks ago
oberon predicted China (H$50 at 39%)
12 weeks ago
captain_spaulding predicted China (H$20 at 38%)
12 weeks ago
oberon predicted China (H$20 at 38%)
24 weeks ago
filanator predicted Japan (H$20 at 48%)
33 weeks ago
davesov predicted Japan (H$50 at 48%)

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