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Which camera maker will release a full frame digital SLR for $2,000 or less (list) in 2009?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Body only. List price

 
Forecast history %
Nikon releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less
2%
Canon releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less
2%
Sony releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less
88%
Olympus releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less
1%
Other company releases $2,000 or less DSLR
2%
Nobody releases a full frame DSLR for $2,000orless
5%
Settled as Sony releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less on Mon 16th Nov 1:21am PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Mon 16th Nov 1:21am PST

Initial likelihoods: Nikon releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less: 15%, Canon releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less: 15%, Sony releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less: 12%, Olympus releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less: 12%, Other company releases $2,000 or less DSLR: 12%, Nobody releases a full frame DSLR for $2,000orless: 34%

Action history:

Created Thu 18th Dec 2008 8:36pm PST by jsevigny
Settlement requested Sun 15th Nov 9:25pm PST by telecentricity: Request settlement for Sony Alpha 850 listed at B&H photo for $1999. Here is the link: http://www.bhphotovideo.com/c/search?ci=6222&N=4294538181+4291215468
Thanks very much,
GL
Suspended Sun 15th Nov 10:44pm PST by kruijs[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Mon 16th Nov 1:21am PST details

 

Predictions (18)

6 days ago
telecentricity predicted Sony releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less (H$10,000 at 46%)
39 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted Nobody releases a full frame DSLR for $2,000orless (H$1,300 at 42%)
40 weeks ago
frogchop predicted Canon releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less (H$50 at 13%)
40 weeks ago
frogchop predicted Nobody releases a full frame DSLR for $2,000orless (H$20 at 34%)
43 weeks ago
cheese predicted Olympus releases full frame DSLR at $2000 or less (H$20 at 8%)

Comments (4)

  1 chatarra
I have sweet dreams of owning the new Canon 5d Mark II.
List price - body only $2,699.00
http://www.usa.canon.com/consumer/controller?act=ModelInfoAct&fcategoryid=139&modelid=17662
posted 48 weeks ago
  2 jsevigny
The Nikon D700 is going for almost that little now.
posted 47 weeks ago
I asked for settlement based on Sony Alpha 850 currently selling for $1999 at B&H photo: http://www.bhphotovideo.com/c/search?ci=6222&N=4294538181+4291215468
posted 6 days ago
  4 kruijs[Power User]
thanks for the settlement request, telecentricity, but why did you put in 10K on the already known outcome? I mean, that stake will get voided anyway, based on your own settlement request.
posted 6 days ago

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