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Gold - Oil - Dow. Three horse race. Finish line Wednesday 24 December

Settled as Dow down, gold & oil up

Starting prices Finish line

DJIA 8579 DJIA 8468.48 Down
Oil 33.87 Oil 35.35 Up
Gold 837.40 Gold 848 Up

http://money.aol.com/

Background:

Background: Gold, oil and the DJIA. Probably the three most watched prices.

Your mission, should you decide to accept it, is to pick the group performance. Will all three be up, all three down. Will the DJIA tank while gold shines bright but oil burns out. In the unlikely event of one finishing at exactly the same price, to the cent or 2 decimal we call it up.
I have put the suspend date to Tuesday midnight. Happy picking and
Marry Christmas to you all.

Starting prices DJIA 8579
_____________Oil 33.87
____________Gold 837.40

Oil is light sweet crude (CL on NYMEX)
Suspend date 1 days before, midnight EST.
Best place to track all three: www.marketwatch.com

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
www.marketwatch.com

 
Forecast history %
All three up
5%
Dow up, gold & oil down
2%
Gold up, dow & oil down
5%
Oil up, dow & gold down
28%
Dow down, gold & oil up
53%
Gold down, dow & oil up
3%
Oil down, dow & gold up
2%
All three down
3%
Settled as Dow down, gold & oil up on Thu 25th Dec 2008 4:58am PST

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 25th Dec 2008 4:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 23rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: All three up: 14%, Dow up, gold & oil down: 12%, Gold up, dow & oil down: 12%, Oil up, dow & gold down: 12%, Dow down, gold & oil up: 12%, Gold down, dow & oil up: 12%, Oil down, dow & gold up: 12%, All three down: 14%

Action history:

Created Sat 20th Dec 2008 1:21am PST by gonegonegone
Suspended Tue 23rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 25th Dec 2008 1:34am PST by elly: Dow down, gold&oil up

Starting prices
DJIA 8579
Oil 33.87
Gold 837.40
Finish line
DJIA 8468.48 i.e.Down
Oil 35.35 i.e.Up
Gold 848 i.e. Up
http://money.aol.com/
Settled as 'Dow down, gold & oil up' Thu 25th Dec 2008 4:58am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Starting prices Finish line

DJIA 8579 DJIA 8468.48 Down
Oil 33.87 Oil 35.35 Up
Gold 837.40 Gold 848 Up

http://money.aol.com/

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 25th Dec 2008 4:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 23rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (137)

1 year ago
vidal1 predicted Gold up, dow & oil down (H$100 at 4%)
1 year ago
robamichael predicted Oil up, dow & gold down (H$104 at 26%)
1 year ago
robamichael predicted Dow down, gold & oil up (H$300 at 50%)
1 year ago
excontender predicted Gold up, dow & oil down (H$20 at 3%)
1 year ago
gazelle predicted Dow down, gold & oil up (H$600 at 46%)

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