Created Sat 20th Dec 2008 9:19am PST by

chris

Will Edinburgh's Hogmanay celebrations be cancelled

Settled as Street party goes ahead as planned

The event was not canceled
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/scotland/article5426558.ece

Background:

Background: In theory Edinburgh should be the place to be to celebrate the arrival of the new year. Hogmanay is traditionally one of the largest events in the Scottish drinking calendar, and Edinburgh (in common with most other cities) lays on a massive free event in Princes Street Gardens with live music and various other activities (drinking).

Sadly the winter weather in Scotland tends towards high winds, driving rain and horrible horrible flooding, and this has led to the cancellation of the street party in both 2004 and 2007.

Arguably the organizers should have invented a fantastic line-up of bands, safe in the knowledge that none of them will ever be required to play, but since the announced acts only stretch to Glasvegas, Paolo Nutini and a couple of others, it seems that the organizers genuinely believe it will go ahead, so the question is, are they right?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Street party goes ahead as planned

92%

Cancelled due to inclement weather

Cancelled for any other reason

Settled as Street party goes ahead as planned on Thu 1st Jan 3:44pm PST

Activity: H$14,667
Predictions: 53
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 4am PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 3:44pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Street party goes ahead as planned: 75%, Cancelled due to inclement weather: 20%, Cancelled for any other reason: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 20th Dec 2008 9:19am PST by

chris

Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 4am PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 3:27pm PST by

magpie Level 11, Legend (H$23,430)

: The celebrations took place. Shown live on BBC News 24

Settled as 'Street party goes ahead as planned' Thu 1st Jan 3:44pm PST by

ryanj

: The event was not canceled
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/scotland/article5426558.ece

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Predictions (53)

26 weeks ago

chris

predicted Cancelled due to inclement weather (H$30 at 7%)

26 weeks ago

predicta Level 14, Prophet (H$161,296)

predicted Street party goes ahead as planned (H$100 at 93%)

26 weeks ago

pabloc Level 12, Guru (H$32,781)

predicted Street party goes ahead as planned (H$50 at 85%)

26 weeks ago

colinw [Admin]

predicted Cancelled due to inclement weather (H$250 at 11%)

27 weeks ago

aikon

predicted Street party goes ahead as planned (H$300 at 84%)

Comments (1)

curios Level 14, Prophet (H$237,925)

I wonder is they still first foot?

posted 27 weeks ago

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