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Will Hillary Clinton and/or Sarah Palin run for president in 2012?

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Neither will run in 2012
69%
Both will run in 2012
3%
Only Clinton will run in 2012
6%
Only Palin will run in 2012
22%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Sat 31st Dec 2011 3:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Neither will run in 2012: 50%, Both will run in 2012: 5%, Only Clinton will run in 2012: 15%, Only Palin will run in 2012: 30%

Action history:

Created Sat 20th Dec 2008 7:47pm PST by 1990rebirth

Suspend date: Sat 31st Dec 2011 3:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (72)

3 days ago
frogchop predicted Only Palin will run in 2012 (H$250 at 20%)
3 days ago
Erik predicted Neither will run in 2012 (H$2,000 at 66%)
3 days ago
Erik predicted Neither will run in 2012 (H$2,000 at 49%)
4 days ago
bigken1 predicted Only Palin will run in 2012 (H$222 at 41%)
4 days ago
bigken1 predicted Neither will run in 2012 (H$500 at 36%)

Comments (3)

  1 sqlman[Admin]
If Palin's thinking about it, she best get things squared away: "According to a [11/17] CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey of 1,014 adults, 70% said Palin is not qualified to be president, while 28% did find the former Alaska governor qualified to replace President Obama. 2% had no opinion."

http://content.usatoday.com/communities/theoval/post/2009/11/whos-more-qualified-to-be-president-more-people-say-clinton-not-palin/1

Of course, Clinton has already said she won't run in 2012 (or ever): "No. No. No," she said. (http://www.nationalpost.com/news/story.html?id=2093887&loc=interstitialskip)
posted 3 days ago
  2 Erik
Neither will run.
posted 3 days ago
  3 Erik
Both have stated that plan many times.

Clinton already lost.

Palin has stated her plans. A base strategy... i.e. ala Gingrich
posted 3 days ago

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