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Will Hillary Clinton and/or Sarah Palin run for president in 2012?

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Neither will run in 2012
59%
Both will run in 2012
7%
Only Clinton will run in 2012
16%
Only Palin will run in 2012
17%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Sat 31st Dec 2011 3:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Neither will run in 2012: 50%, Both will run in 2012: 5%, Only Clinton will run in 2012: 15%, Only Palin will run in 2012: 30%

Action history:

Created Sat 20th Dec 2008 7:47pm PST by 1990rebirth

Suspend date: Sat 31st Dec 2011 3:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (65)

5 weeks ago
wabash predicted Only Palin will run in 2012 (H$500 at 13%)
6 weeks ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted Both will run in 2012 (H$3 at 7%)
17 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted Only Palin will run in 2012 (H$50 at 19%)
17 weeks ago
majorgeeky predicted Only Palin will run in 2012 (H$20 at 18%)
18 weeks ago
deelilley predicted Neither will run in 2012 (H$1,200 at 65%)

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