Will there be an "Elf-Steden-Tocht" in Winter 2008/2009?
Background: The Elfstedentocht (English translation: "Eleven-cities Tour") is a speed skating competition and leisure skating tour held irregularly in the province of Friesland, Netherlands.
The tour, almost 200 km in length, is conducted on frozen canals, rivers and lakes between the eleven Frisian cities: Leeuwarden, Sneek, IJlst, Sloten, Stavoren, Hindeloopen, Workum, Bolsward, Harlingen, Franeker, Dokkum and finally again Leeuwarden. The tour is not held each year, mostly because the Dutch winters do not permit skating on natural ice every year.
Adding to that, the tour currently features about 15,000 amateur skaters taking part, putting high requirements on the quality of the ice. There is a stated regulatory requirement for the race to take place that the ice must be (and remain at) a minimum thickness of 15 centimetres along the entirety of the course.
Since the Elfstedentocht is such a rare occurrence, its declaration creates excitement all over the country. The day before the race many Dutch flock to Leeuwarden to enjoy the party atmosphere that surrounds the event. The evening before the race called the "Nacht van Leeuwarden" (Night of Leeuwarden) becomes a giant city-wide street party (Frisians, who have a reputation of surliness, are said to thaw when it freezes). At the day of the race most Frisians stay home to watch the race on television.
Since 1909, the tour has been held 15 times. The last race was 1997.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elfstedentocht
http://www.elfstedentocht.nl/ (dutch)
(this question settles "no" if no race took place by suspension)
The tour, almost 200 km in length, is conducted on frozen canals, rivers and lakes between the eleven Frisian cities: Leeuwarden, Sneek, IJlst, Sloten, Stavoren, Hindeloopen, Workum, Bolsward, Harlingen, Franeker, Dokkum and finally again Leeuwarden. The tour is not held each year, mostly because the Dutch winters do not permit skating on natural ice every year.
Adding to that, the tour currently features about 15,000 amateur skaters taking part, putting high requirements on the quality of the ice. There is a stated regulatory requirement for the race to take place that the ice must be (and remain at) a minimum thickness of 15 centimetres along the entirety of the course.
Since the Elfstedentocht is such a rare occurrence, its declaration creates excitement all over the country. The day before the race many Dutch flock to Leeuwarden to enjoy the party atmosphere that surrounds the event. The evening before the race called the "Nacht van Leeuwarden" (Night of Leeuwarden) becomes a giant city-wide street party (Frisians, who have a reputation of surliness, are said to thaw when it freezes). At the day of the race most Frisians stay home to watch the race on television.
Since 1909, the tour has been held 15 times. The last race was 1997.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elfstedentocht
http://www.elfstedentocht.nl/ (dutch)
(this question settles "no" if no race took place by suspension)
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Settled as No on Thu 9th Apr 2009 9:20am PST
- Activity: H$21,342 |
- Predictions: 73 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 2009 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 9th Apr 2009 9:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 31st Mar 2009 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%
Action history:
Suspended Tue 31st Mar 2009 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 3rd Apr 2009 1:33pm PST by 
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: Please settle "no".
the Elfstedentocht only took place in Dec., Jan. or Feb. Never earlier nor later.
http://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elfstedentocht
kruijs: Please settle "no".
the Elfstedentocht only took place in Dec., Jan. or Feb. Never earlier nor later.
http://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elfstedentocht
Settled as 'No' Thu 9th Apr 2009 9:20am PST by 
mrperfkt![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: http://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elfstedentocht
mrperfkt: http://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elfstedentocht 
Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 2009 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 9th Apr 2009 9:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 31st Mar 2009 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (73)
koester
predicted No (H$342 at 94%)
predicted No (H$182 at 94%)
kida
predicted No (H$2,000 at 86%)Comments (1)
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