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Who will be Prime Minister of India in 2009?

Settled as Manmohan Singh

He won...

Background:

Background: Category Editor Note: Question is interpreted to be asking who will win the next election and become (or remain) Prime Minister in 2009.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Manmohan Singh
71%
L K Advani
9%
Rahul Gandhi
9%
Mayawati
6%
Sonia Gandhi
6%
Settled as Manmohan Singh on Thu 28th May 2009 4:44pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Jun 2009 2:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 28th May 2009 4:44pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd May 2009 2:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Manmohan Singh: 20%, L K Advani: 20%, Rahul Gandhi: 20%, Mayawati: 20%, Sonia Gandhi: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 23rd Dec 2008 5:51am PST by reutersindia
Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 2009 2:07pm PST by oppugner: It's 2009 and Dr. Manmohan Singh is prime minister.
http://pmindia.nic.in/
Settlement requested Wed 20th May 2009 7:45pm PST by tarpash: Should be settled as Singh: http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/article.aspx?id=3781
Settlement requested Thu 28th May 2009 4:16pm PST by masterblaster: Can this one be closed now. Manmohan Singh is indeed the Prime Minister.
Settled as 'Manmohan Singh' Thu 28th May 2009 4:44pm PST by sqlman[Admin]: He won...

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Jun 2009 2:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 28th May 2009 4:44pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd May 2009 2:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (105)

36 weeks ago
masterblaster predicted Manmohan Singh (H$20 at 88%)
36 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted Manmohan Singh (H$5,000 at 87%)
37 weeks ago
masterblaster predicted Manmohan Singh (H$327 at 90%)
38 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted Manmohan Singh (H$2,000 at 87%)
38 weeks ago
masterblaster predicted Manmohan Singh (H$89 at 92%)

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