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2010 US Census: How many states will lose at least one House of Representative seat?

Background: The 2010 US Census will be the 23rd census in US history. It is scheduled to take place on April 1, 2010. It will count non-citizens and the homeless. The census is used to allocate Congressional seats, electoral votes and government program funding.

According to an estimate released on December 22, 2008, eight states are expected to lose at least one state. Five states are expected to gain at least one seat.

Additional information:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/2008-12-22-census-congress-analysis_N.htm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_United_States_Census

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
5 or fewer
4%
6
10%
7
22%
8
35%
9
12%
10
8%
11
6%
More than 11
4%
Question suspends in 18 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 1st Apr 2010 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 5 or fewer: 2%, 6: 10%, 7: 15%, 8: 40%, 9: 15%, 10: 10%, 11: 6%, More than 11: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 23rd Dec 2008 3:47pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 1st Apr 2010 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (26)

5 weeks ago
corbelle predicted 8 (H$50 at 35%)
46 weeks ago
samlepirat predicted 8 (H$20 at 35%) - 1 comments
47 weeks ago
adammccormicks predicted 7 (H$20 at 23%)
47 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted 7 (H$350 at 20%)
47 weeks ago
barcher predicted 11 (H$50 at 5%)

Comments (1)

  1 onedave[Power User]
2010 Census web page: http://www.census.gov/2010census/
posted 47 weeks ago

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