Created Fri 26th Dec 2008 7:15pm PST by 
fundo
fundo 
Will there be a magnitude 8 or greater quake off of the Sumatra coast in 2009?
Background: In 2004 the Great Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake caused a quake that killed hundreds of thousands. According to geophysicist Prof. Kerry Sieh http://www.gps.caltech.edu/, the same fault is due to rupture again in the coming years, resulting in another disastrous quake.
Will the big quake happen in 2009?
Will the big quake happen in 2009?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
|
Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$26,755 |
- Predictions: 45 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%
Action history:
Created Fri 26th Dec 2008 7:15pm PST by fundo
fundo
Changed Description Sun 28th Dec 2008 5:25am PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... the Great Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake (<a href="<(<a href="http://en.wikipedia. ... .wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake</a>"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake<">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake<</a>;/a>) > caused a quake that killed ... to geophysicist Prof. Kerry Sieh (<a href="<<a href="http://www.gps. ... ://www.gps.caltech.edu/</a>"><a href="http://www.gps.caltech.edu/<">http://www.gps.caltech.edu/<</a>;/a>~sieh/), >, the same fault is due
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (45)
predicted Yes (H$100 at 12%)
predicted Yes (H$50 at 12%)
predicted Yes (H$20 at 9%)
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$1,000 at 78%)
predicted Yes (H$20 at 23%)Comments (3)
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http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php
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