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Will the Zardari government of Pakistan be overthrown or defeated in 2009?

Settled as Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09

He's still there, and still in power...

Background:

Background: The International Republican Institute Survey on Pakistan that came out recently found that:
88% of the Pakistani population thinks that the country is headed in the wrong direction,
59% think that the economic situation of the country will get worse, 76% think that the current government has performed poorly, and
67% think that things will not get better under this “democratic” setup.
According to one Pakistani writer, the Zardari government is popularly described on the streets there as “sellout to the CIA”, “mouth piece of the U.S”, “slaves of the Yankees”, and the harshest of all the slogans “Traitors.” (http://www.opednews.com/articles/Playing-with-Fire-in-Pakis-by-Talha-Mujaddidi-081224-26.html)
Bear in mind, too, Pakistan's rich history of coups and other turnovers. The invader outcome lists three presumably exclusive possible invading forces that could remove Zardari, but removal by any force from outside Pakistan should satisfy this option.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Zardari replaced due to a coup by the military
0%
Zardari overthrown by a popular revolution
0%
Zardari voted out of office in a popular election
0%
Zardari removed by invaders (Taliban, USA, India)
0%
Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09
99%
Zardari loses power due to some other option
0%
Settled as Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 on Sat 2nd Jan 9:01am PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 2nd Jan 9:01am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Zardari replaced due to a coup by the military: 10%, Zardari overthrown by a popular revolution: 10%, Zardari voted out of office in a popular election: 10%, Zardari removed by invaders (Taliban, USA, India): 10%, Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09: 55%, Zardari loses power due to some other option: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 29th Dec 2008 7:23pm PST by capecodviking[Power User]
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 12:09pm PST by bookie: Um, Happy New Year?
Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 3:46pm PST by spyder: Zardari still in power at end of 2009. Settle as "Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09"
Settled as 'Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09' Sat 2nd Jan 9:01am PST by sqlman[Admin]: He's still there, and still in power...

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 2nd Jan 9:01am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (43)

14 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$1,500 at 90%)
14 weeks ago
bookie predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$600 at 86%)
14 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$3,000 at 79%)
14 weeks ago
sbittinger_70 predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$100 at 73%)
15 weeks ago
mumforga predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$100 at 72%)

Comments (1)

  1 deanthoreau
The International Republican Institute Survey on the USA that came out recently found that:
88% of the American population thinks that the country is headed in the wrong direction,
59% think that the economic situation of the country will get worse, 76% think that the current government has performed poorly,
Wow look what happens when u change the word Pakistan to American....
but I digress
posted 1 year ago

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