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Will the Zardari government of Pakistan be overthrown or defeated in 2009?

Background: The International Republican Institute Survey on Pakistan that came out recently found that:
88% of the Pakistani population thinks that the country is headed in the wrong direction,
59% think that the economic situation of the country will get worse, 76% think that the current government has performed poorly, and
67% think that things will not get better under this “democratic” setup.
According to one Pakistani writer, the Zardari government is popularly described on the streets there as “sellout to the CIA”, “mouth piece of the U.S”, “slaves of the Yankees”, and the harshest of all the slogans “Traitors.” (http://www.opednews.com/articles/Playing-with-Fire-in-Pakis-by-Talha-Mujaddidi-081224-26.html)
Bear in mind, too, Pakistan's rich history of coups and other turnovers. The invader outcome lists three presumably exclusive possible invading forces that could remove Zardari, but removal by any force from outside Pakistan should satisfy this option.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Zardari replaced due to a coup by the military
8%
Zardari overthrown by a popular revolution
6%
Zardari voted out of office in a popular election
4%
Zardari removed by invaders (Taliban, USA, India)
4%
Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09
72%
Zardari loses power due to some other option
5%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Zardari replaced due to a coup by the military: 10%, Zardari overthrown by a popular revolution: 10%, Zardari voted out of office in a popular election: 10%, Zardari removed by invaders (Taliban, USA, India): 10%, Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09: 55%, Zardari loses power due to some other option: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 29th Dec 2008 7:23pm PST by capecodviking[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (35)

16 weeks ago
zzaveri predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$1,000 at 52%)
21 weeks ago
san99 predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$10 at 48%)
24 weeks ago
saroshafzal predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$20 at 47%)
26 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Zardari remains president of Pakistan at end '09 (H$1,000 at 41%)
35 weeks ago
uppito predicted Zardari replaced due to a coup by the military (H$500 at 19%)

Comments (1)

  1 deanthoreau
The International Republican Institute Survey on the USA that came out recently found that:
88% of the American population thinks that the country is headed in the wrong direction,
59% think that the economic situation of the country will get worse, 76% think that the current government has performed poorly,
Wow look what happens when u change the word Pakistan to American....
but I digress
posted 46 weeks ago

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