Created Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:21am PST by 
pixelpaws
pixelpaws 
What will be the lowest price of Brent Crude Oil in 2009?
Background: With oil prices falling rather steadily for a while, how low can we expect them to go? Some analysts are calling for prices to fall somewhere between $20 and $25, while others expect the price to ratchet back up into the mid-$70s. What's your analysis?
CatEd's notation:
Settlement is to be based on the daily closing price, not intraday trading.
CatEd's notation:
Settlement is to be based on the daily closing price, not intraday trading.
Settlement details:Brent Crude as reported by the NYMEX: <a href="<a href="http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx">http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<;/a>"><a href="http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<;">http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<;</a>;/a>
Forecast history %
| Over $45.00 |
| ||||
| $40.01 to $45.00 |
| ||||
| $35.01 to $40.00 |
| ||||
| $30.01 to $35.00 |
| ||||
| $25.01 to $30.00 |
| ||||
| $20.01 to $25.00 |
| ||||
| $15.01 to $20.00 |
| ||||
| $10.01 to $15.00 |
| ||||
| $5.01 to $10.00 |
| ||||
| $5.00 or below |
|
Question suspends in 4 weeks
- Activity: H$168,180 |
- Predictions: 377 |
Comments: 9
Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Over $45.00: 5%, $40.01 to $45.00: 15%, $35.01 to $40.00: 20%, $30.01 to $35.00: 20%, $25.01 to $30.00: 15%, $20.01 to $25.00: 12%, $15.01 to $20.00: 10%, $10.01 to $15.00: 1%, $5.01 to $10.00: 1%, $5.00 or below: 1%
Action history:
Created Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:21am PST by pixelpaws
pixelpaws
Changed Description Thu 22nd Jan 5:32am PST by 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
bayoubear: show details ... -$70s. What's your analysis?? <br/> <br/> CatEd's notation: <br/> <b>Settlement is to be based on the daily closing price, not intraday trading.</b>
Changed Settlement info Thu 22nd Jan 5:32am PST by bayoubear: show details
bayoubear: show details ... as reported by the NYMEX: <: <a href="<a href="http://www.nymex. ... www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx</a>"><a href="http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<">http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<</a>;/a>
Changed Question text Mon 16th Feb 12:51pm PST by bayoubear: ... be the lowest price of oilBrent Crude Oil in 2009?
bayoubear: ... be the lowest price of
Changed Settlement info Mon 16th Feb 12:51pm PST by bayoubear: show details
bayoubear: show details ... as reported by the NYMEX: <a href="<a href="<a href=" ... nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<</a>;/a>"><a href="<a href="http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<">http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<</a>;"><a href="http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<">http://www.nymex.com/BZ_cso.aspx<</a>;</a>;/a>
Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (377)
propugnator
predicted $30.01 to $35.00 (H$20 at 1%)
tuff_sledding![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted $35.01 to $40.00 (H$2,000 at 95%)
gonegonegone
predicted $35.01 to $40.00 (H$2,000 at 96%)Comments (9)
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