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How will the NASDAQ Composite perform in 2009?

Background: Start of 2009? 1,577.03

End of 2009? Twelve long months of trading away.

In 2008, the NASDAQ plunged 1,097.43 points, shedding 41.03% of its value. We can't possibly have another year like that... can we?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Up 40% or more (2,207.85 or higher)
43%
Up 30% to less than 40% (2,050.14 - 2,207.84)
48%
Up 20% to less than 30% (1,892.44 - 2,050.13)
6%
Up 10% to less than 20% (1,734.74 - 1,892.43)
4%
Up less than 10% (1,577.04 - 1,734.73)
0%
Down less than 10% (1,419.33 - 1,577.02)
0%
Down 10% to less than 20% (1,261.63 - 1,419.32)
0%
Down 20% to less than 30% (1,103.92 - 1,261.62)
0%
Down 30% to less than 40% (946.22 - 1,103.91)
0%
Down 40% or more (946.21 or lower)
0%
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 4am PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Up 40% or more (2,207.85 or higher): 1%, Up 30% to less than 40% (2,050.14 - 2,207.84): 5%, Up 20% to less than 30% (1,892.44 - 2,050.13): 10%, Up 10% to less than 20% (1,734.74 - 1,892.43): 15%, Up less than 10% (1,577.04 - 1,734.73): 19%, Down less than 10% (1,419.33 - 1,577.02): 19%, Down 10% to less than 20% (1,261.63 - 1,419.32): 15%, Down 20% to less than 30% (1,103.92 - 1,261.62): 10%, Down 30% to less than 40% (946.22 - 1,103.91): 5%, Down 40% or more (946.21 or lower): 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 1st Jan 4:39pm PST by pixelpaws

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 4am PST (4 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (206)

4 hours ago
rogerkni predicted Up 10% to less than 20% (1,734.74 - 1,892.43) (H$400 at 7%)
16 hours ago
rogerkni predicted Up 20% to less than 30% (1,892.44 - 2,050.13) (H$500 at 13%)
16 hours ago
rogerkni predicted Up 30% to less than 40% (2,050.14 - 2,207.84) (H$750 at 23%)
17 hours ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Up 10% to less than 20% (1,734.74 - 1,892.43) (H$200 at 6%)
17 hours ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Up 20% to less than 30% (1,892.44 - 2,050.13) (H$500 at 13%)

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