Created Fri 2nd Jan 2009 11:02am PST by 
stepher
stepher 
William Gray predicts 14 named Atlantic basin named storms for 2009. Will there be more than that?
Settled as No
Only 9 named storms occurred in the Atlantic basin in 2009.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Atlantic_hurricane_season
Background:
Background: From Wikipedia:
Gray pioneered the concept of "seasonal" hurricane forecasting—predicting months in advance the severity of the coming hurricane season. Gray and his team has been issuing seasonal hurricane forecasts since 1984.[1]
The forecast for 2009 can be found here:
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/
Atlantic basin includes named storms that form in the Caribbean
Gray pioneered the concept of "seasonal" hurricane forecasting—predicting months in advance the severity of the coming hurricane season. Gray and his team has been issuing seasonal hurricane forecasts since 1984.[1]
The forecast for 2009 can be found here:
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/
Atlantic basin includes named storms that form in the Caribbean
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Settled as No on Sat 12th Dec 2009 1:19pm PST
- Activity: H$130,780 |
- Predictions: 76 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 12th Dec 2009 1:19pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%
Action history:
Created Fri 2nd Jan 2009 11:02am PST by stepher
stepher
Suspended Fri 2nd Jan 2009 2:04pm PST by 
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: Flagged by super user: Forecast predicts 14 named storms. Suspending pending clarification.
onedave: Flagged by super user: Forecast predicts 14 named storms. Suspending pending clarification.
Changed Description Sat 3rd Jan 2009 4:45am PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... From Wikipedia: <:<br/> Gray pioneered the concept of "seasonal" hurricane forecasting——predicting months in advance the ... hurricane forecasts since 1984.[1] <]<br/> <br/> The forecast for 2009 can be found here: <:<br/> <br/> <a href="<a href="</> <a href="http://hurricane.atmos. ... .atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/</a>"><a href="http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/<">http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/<</a>;/a>"><a href="<a href="http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/<">http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/<</a>;"><a href="http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/<">http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/<</a>;</a>;/a> <><br/> <br/> Atlantic basin includes
Changed Question text Sat 3rd Jan 2009 4:47am PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... predicts 14 named Atlantic basin hurricanesnamed storms for 2009. Will there be
Changed Description Sat 3rd Jan 2009 4:47am PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... From Wikipedia:<: <br/> Gray pioneered the concept ... hurricane forecasts since 1984.[1]<] <br/> <br/> The forecast for 2009 can be found here:<: <br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... .atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/</a><> <br/> <br/> Atlantic basin includes hurricanesnamed storms that form in the Caribbean
Unsuspended Sat 3rd Jan 2009 4:48am PST by tisha: Question has been edited from 'hurricane' to 'named storms' to reflect the report in question.
tisha: Question has been edited from 'hurricane' to 'named storms' to reflect the report in question.
Suspended Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sat 12th Dec 2009 1:19pm PST by tisha: Only 9 named storms occurred in the Atlantic basin in 2009.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Atlantic_hurricane_season
tisha: Only 9 named storms occurred in the Atlantic basin in 2009.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Atlantic_hurricane_season
Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 12th Dec 2009 1:19pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (76)
galahaut
predicted No (H$8,956 at 99%)
lcsnor
predicted No (H$10,000 at 96%)
predicted No (H$10,000 at 94%)Comments (3)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
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Related Tags
Note also that the way the question is worded, if there are exactly 14 named atlantic basin storms, the question will settle as 'no'. 15 or more will settle as 'yes'.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/04/15/rommula-sudden-acceleration/
"The team of Professors Philip Klotzbach and William Gray of the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University (CSU) released their first revision to their initial forecast for the 2009 hurricane season. They now see this year as an average season, down from their prior assessment of it being an active season. The new forecast calls for 12 named storms, down from 14 in their December 10, 2008, initial forecast. These storms will produce six hurricanes and two intense ones, each category lower by one. While the number of named storms is above the 50-year average spanning 1950-2000, the number of hurricanes and intense hurricanes is in line with the historical averages for that period."
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aJFnpBQ8o1JI
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