Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Will oil hit $80 per barrel in 2009?

Settled as Yes

Current (10/20) table shows a high price of $80.05 for November contract oil...as this question does not require it to close at or over $80, it can now be settled as YES

Background:

Background: Byron Wien believes oil will cross $80 per barrel in 2009. Will it?

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=awT_Q1jMJRK8&refer=us

Settlement details:Based on a single reported trade of CL on NYMEX at $80.00 or higher in 2009. See http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx">http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx

 
Forecast history %
Yes
90%
No
10%
Settled as Yes on Tue 20th Oct 3:08am PST

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Tue 20th Oct 3:08am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 5th Jan 11:30am PST by faisal
Changed Suspend date Mon 8th Jun 3:05am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: was: "2009-12-31 23:59:00"
Settlement requested Mon 19th Oct 6:20pm PST by photochico: http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx
Settlement requested Mon 19th Oct 7:29pm PST by gonegonegone: A trade took place on Nymex @ $80.05 at 16.27 NZ Time
Suspended Tue 20th Oct 2:50am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: looking at data
Settled as 'Yes' Tue 20th Oct 3:08am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Current (10/20) table shows a high price of $80.05 for November contract oil...as this question does not require it to close at or over $80, it can now be settled as YES

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Tue 20th Oct 3:08am PST details

 

Predictions (1135)

4 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted No (H$100 at 10%)
4 weeks ago
nightwish predicted Yes (H$695 at 90%)
4 weeks ago
tweety predicted Yes (H$100 at 90%)
4 weeks ago
budwlser predicted Yes (H$300 at 89%)
4 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted Yes (H$100 at 89%)

Comments (35)

  1 sqlman[Admin]
Some analysts are even seeing $200 bbl by 2010 or 2011...

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28527108/
posted 45 weeks ago
  2 deanthoreau
those analysts must be stoned...but have u noticed that the oil prices dropped significantly just before presidential elections....and long enough for the Democrats to put the windfall tax bill on the back burner....and now surprisingly the oil prices are popping up again.
I think the house and senate needs to start talking aobut windfall taxes on the oil companies again so the prices go lower.
posted 44 weeks ago
oil WILL go up sharply and a lot of it will be because of the Inflation heading our way..
posted 23 weeks ago
  4 mork[Power User]
Oil Speculators Back But So Is Demand
http://foxyurl.com/5UZ
posted 23 weeks ago
  5 frogchop
Rob, I think you've nailed it. The dollar is much more diluted than it was last year and sooner or later the oil-rich nations will want more buying power for a barrel of the gooey stuff. Right now the dollar is strong because most of the world's currencies are suffering more, but the actual buying power is going down with every new bill in circulation (to the tune of trillions over the last 9 months).
posted 22 weeks ago
  6 pmk2668
Drop baby drop
posted 21 weeks ago
  7 frogchop
Don't you know that dropping babies is for celebrities.

I'm pro-low oil, unfortunately our suppliers aren't.
posted 21 weeks ago
mm hmm^^^

i wonder what the summer will entail with Iranian turmoil on top of usual gas hikes during the season.
posted 21 weeks ago
down to 64 today....
posted 19 weeks ago
  12 ddannywms
Crude keeps bouncing up and down, but mostly in the $60s. Up again today to $68 and change despite the surprising oil stocks report from the feds on Wednesday. $80/bbl. will be a stretch this year unless some sort of event panics the market.
posted 16 weeks ago
looks like we won't get any boost from hurricanes knocking out oit production in the Gulf of Mexico - it's been an awfully quiet season due to el Nino. With lots of clunkers being traded in and the economy still sluggish, I don't see 80 materializing this year. We've hit a good price level to make it economical to re-start production in some of the more marginal wells and the tar sands, so supply will not be as constrained and inelastic as was feared. Looks to me like we will linger around 65 to 70 for the rest of the year.
posted 14 weeks ago
  14 coolkraft
yes but the weak dollar sent oil over $70 per barrel
posted 14 weeks ago
supposedly real inflation won't hit for another year or two....

i'm beginning to speculate if this will reach 80 or not
posted 13 weeks ago
  16 frogchop
Things are pretty interesting. The gold-oil-dollar link appears to be controlled by some unusual market forces at the moment. Unemployment is likely to remain high (7-8% or more) for the next 1-2 years, which brings down the demand for oil. At the same time, the money supply (USD) has increased dramatically in the last year, but because the economy is so slow, the velocity is very low, so that keeps inflation in check. However, in early September the UN had an economic meeting suggesting a replacement to the US Dollar as the world reserve currency, which, along with other technical factors, has driven up the price of gold. In the meantime, the dollar has lost ground against both the Pound and the Euro in the last couple weeks.

Where this ride stops, nobody knows...
posted 9 weeks ago
  19 madbuns
Good source for ongoing checking of prices: 'http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx'
posted 8 weeks ago
  20 coolkraft
72.95
posted 5 weeks ago
  21 coolkraft
75.00
posted 5 weeks ago
  22 coolkraft
75.10
posted 5 weeks ago
  23 chatarra
Thanks Coolkraft - You have made me see the reality here.
Cover and run

I cashed in tonight- after losing my a$$ on this one
posted 5 weeks ago
I would not jump to any conclusions. There still is an oversupply of oil and refined products at the moment, this jump form $70 to 75 is all speculation on improved demand. But guess what? Some real changes did happen with the ridiculous gas and energy prices and the demand for fossil fuels is going to moderate as a result. My bet is we will come close, but fall just short of the $80 mark.
posted 5 weeks ago
  25 coolkraft
I don't know about that..food prices are going to rise at least 5 percent due to the oil price. Projected oil prices are $80.00 per gallon by the year's end. We have to get serious and off the oil wagon here in the US if we want any relief on prices of food, oil, gasoline etc.
posted 5 weeks ago
  26 madbuns
No reality for me...c'mon low-priced oil. To the speculators i say "meh."
posted 5 weeks ago
  27 deelilley
78.69
posted 5 weeks ago
  28 photochico
Might as well look at this one to see if the percentages are different: http://www.hubdub.com/m56657/_Oil_up_or_down__December_Contract_Which_comes_first___70_oil_or_80_oil
posted 5 weeks ago
  29 photochico
Can this settle now? The high hit 80.05.
posted 4 weeks ago
Where was that photochico. I haven't seen Nymex front month over $80 yet. Currently $79.68 and rising. Hope this settles soon so I can run out and gas up the Hummer while I can still afford it.
posted 4 weeks ago
  31 coolkraft
u r funny Pete
posted 4 weeks ago
  32 coolkraft
gas prices up 8 cents per gallon due to oil increase
posted 4 weeks ago
  33 photochico
Now???? http://i36.tinypic.com/28un3u1.jpg
posted 4 weeks ago
79.95 at 3.40NZT . You are looking at the futures contract photochico. This is for front month, the figure that appears on NYMEX.com homepage.
posted 4 weeks ago
Tha' she blows! $80.05 16.27 NZ Time
posted 4 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
UPDATE 2-Tanzania's inflation rate slows to 12 percent

DAR ES SALAAM, May 15 (Reuters) - Falling food and fuel prices slowed Tanzania's headline inflation rate to 12.0 percent in April from 13.0 percent a month earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Friday. Like east African neighbours

score: 10
UPDATE 1-Tanzania April inflation slips to 12.0 pct y/y

DAR ES SALAAM, May 15 (Reuters) - Tanzania's annual inflation rate fell to 12.0 percent in April from 13.0 percent in March due to a drop in food prices, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Friday

score: 10
UPDATE 1-Panama 12-month inflation rate 3.7 pct in April

- Panama's consumer prices rose 0.4 percent in April compared to the previous month, putting the inflation rate in the 12 months through April to 3.7 percent, the government said in a statement on Thursday. Rising costs for transportation and schooling

score: 10
INSTANT VIEW 1-Indian annual inflation at 0.48 pct on May 2

It was above a median forecast of 0.3 percent in a Reuters poll of analysts. The annual inflation rate was 8.73 percent during the corresponding week of the previous year. KEY POINTS: SUB-INDEX (WEIGHTING) May 2 Apr 25 Pct change PRIMARY ARTICLES

score: 10
INSTANT VIEW 2-Indian annual inflation at 0.48 pct on May 2

It was above a median forecast of 0.3 percent in a Reuters poll of analysts. The annual inflation rate was 8.73 percent during the corresponding week of the previous year. KEY POINTS: SUB-INDEX (WEIGHTING) May 2 Apr 25 Pct change PRIMARY ARTICLES

Related Tags