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How will Stacy Peterson be found?

Background: Stacy Peterson is still missing. Most everyone think she is dead but there is no body and no one knows for sure.

<a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25829361/">Recent MSNBC story</a>

[Category Editor comment] Although this question may look a little confusing at first, because of the ordering of the options, it actually is fine. You're predicting on whether she's Found Alive (and where), Found Dead (in what type of location), or Not Found in 2009. Just for clarity's sake, the option "Found dead on the Peterson property" will be interpreted to mean only in the Peterson main dwelling (at time of disappearance) and surrounding grounds. Therefore any other Peterson property will not be considered the Peterson property, so if she's found dead there, one of the other options will apply.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Found Alive in Illinois
0%
Found Dead on the Peterson property
0%
Found Dead in a body of water
0%
Found Dead in a field
1%
Found dead in a wooded area
1%
Found Alive in any US state other than Illinois
0%
Found Alive but not in a US state
0%
Found Dead in any location not mentioned above
1%
Not found - still missing
97%
Question suspends in 7 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 2nd Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Found Alive in Illinois: 4%, Found Dead on the Peterson property: 10%, Found Dead in a body of water: 10%, Found Dead in a field: 10%, Found dead in a wooded area: 10%, Found Alive in any US state other than Illinois: 6%, Found Alive but not in a US state: 10%, Found Dead in any location not mentioned above: 15%, Not found - still missing: 25%

Action history:

Suspend date: Sat 2nd Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (22)

4 days ago
fellcolor predicted Not found - still missing (H$10,000 at 89%)
5 days ago
bout3fitty predicted Not found - still missing (H$1,500 at 71%)
29 weeks ago
ianarosh predicted Not found - still missing (H$100 at 66%)
40 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Not found - still missing (H$2,000 at 59%)
43 weeks ago
deadonjenny predicted Found Dead in any location not mentioned above (H$50 at 16%)

Comments (1)

  1 hfl13
Must be 2009. Happy New Year ;-)

[Category Editor comment] "Although this question may look a little confusing at first, because of the ordering of the options, it actually is fine. You're predicting on whether she's Found Alive (and where), Found Dead (in what type of location), or Not Found in 2008."
posted 43 weeks ago

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