Created Wed 7th Jan 11:36pm PST by

neuronexmachina Level 12, Guru (H$33,431)

Who will Obama name as NASA Administrator?

Settled as Charles Bolden

Obama picks ex-astronaut Bolden to lead NASA
Sat May 23, 2009 12:23pm EDT

Background:

Background: Background: CATEGORY EDITOR CLARIFICATIONThis market will have the suspend date moved out, Griffin is NOT the administrator currently, so even though a replacement has not been named, the conditions in settlement agreement do not allow for settlement as Griffin. Market will be suspended when a new NASA administrator is reported, but will settle only once the NASA administrator is in office.

Background: Current NASA head Michael Griffin is reportedly planning on leaving office once Barack Obama takes office, and it's not expected that Obama will ask Griffin to stay on. Griffin's administration has been controversial, with many questioning Griffin's push for the Ares launch system and reports of noncooperation from Griffin towards Obama's space transition team.

A number of possible new administrators have been discussed, some of whom are reportedly on the short-list of Obama's space transition team:

* Charles Bolden: astronaut and former shuttle commander, retired U.S. Marine Corps officer

* Sally Ride: first female American in space, known for science outreach work

* Alan Stern: planetary scientist, principal investigator of New Horizons mission to Pluto, former associate administrator of NASA's Science Mission Directorate

* Wesley Huntress: former NASA space science chief, key role in deployment of several science missions

* Scott Hubbard: known for turning around Mars program after series of failures, former director of NASA Ames

* Pete Worden: astrophysicist and retired USAF Brigadier General, advocate of engaging private sector

* Lori Garver: head of Obama's space transition team, former NASA Associate Administrator of Policy and Plans, past Executive Director of National Space Society, lead space policy advisor for Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, and John Kerry presidential campaigns

http://www.space.com/news/ft-090107-nasa-chief-steppingdown.html
http://www.hobbyspace.com/nucleus/index.php?itemid=10183
http://www.transterrestrial.com/?p=15837

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. This will be settled when an official announcement of the new NASA Administrator is made. If Michael Griffin is still Administrator on March 1 and a replacement has not been named, this question will settle on him.

Forecast history %

Charles Bolden

84%

Sally Ride

Alan Stern

Wesley Huntress

Scott Hubbard

Pete Worden

Lori Garver

Michael Griffin (current)

Someone else

13%

Settled as Charles Bolden on Sat 23rd May 2:10pm PST

Activity: H$159,809
Predictions: 296
Comments: 7

Suspend date: Wed 1st Jul 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 23rd May 2:10pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 23rd May 8:25am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Charles Bolden: 35%, Sally Ride: 5%, Alan Stern: 5%, Wesley Huntress: 5%, Scott Hubbard: 5%, Pete Worden: 5%, Lori Garver: 5%, Michael Griffin (current): 15%, Someone else: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 7th Jan 11:36pm PST by

neuronexmachina Level 12, Guru (H$33,431)

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 3:12pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... <center>CATEGORY EDITOR CLARIFICATION</center>This market will have the suspend date moved out, Griffin is NOT the administrator currently, so even though a replacement has not been named, the conditions in settlement agreement do not allow for settlement as Griffin. Market will be suspended when a new NASA administrator is reported, but will settle only once the NASA administrator is in office.Background: Current NASA head Michael Griffin ... Obama's space transition team~~. <~~. A number of ... Obama's space transition team~~: <~~: * Charles Bolden: astronaut ... U.S. Marine Corps officer < * Sally Ride: first ... , known for science outreach work < * Alan Stern: planetary ... NASA's Science Mission Directorate < * Wesley Huntress: former ... deployment of several science missions < * Scott Hubbard: known ... , former director of NASA Ames < * Pete Worden: astrophysicist ... , advocate of engaging private sector < * Lori Garver: head ... , and John Kerry presidential campaigns < <a href="http:// ... -nasa-chief-steppingdown.html</a~~> <~~> <a href="http://www. ... /index.php?itemid=10183</a~~> <~~> <a href="http://www.

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 3:12pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... Obama's space transition team.<. A number of ... Obama's space transition team:<: * Charles Bolden: astronaut ... U.S. Marine Corps officer< * Sally Ride: first ... , known for science outreach work< * Alan Stern: planetary ... NASA's Science Mission Directorate< * Wesley Huntress: former ... deployment of several science missions< * Scott Hubbard: known ... , former director of NASA Ames< * Pete Worden: astrophysicist ... , advocate of engaging private sector< * Lori Garver: head ... , and John Kerry presidential campaigns< <a href="http:// ... -nasa-chief-steppingdown.html</a><> <a href="http://www. ... /index.php?itemid=10183</a><> <a href="http://www.

Changed Suspend date Sat 28th Feb 3:12pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: was: "2009-03-01 23:59:00"

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 3:13pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... Background: <center>></center>This market will have ... NASA administrator is in office. Background: Current NASA ... Obama's space transition team~~. <~~. A number of ... Obama's space transition team~~: <~~: * Charles Bolden: astronaut ... U.S. Marine Corps officer < * Sally Ride: first ... , known for science outreach work < * Alan Stern: planetary ... NASA's Science Mission Directorate < * Wesley Huntress: former ... deployment of several science missions < * Scott Hubbard: known ... , former director of NASA Ames < * Pete Worden: astrophysicist ... , advocate of engaging private sector < * Lori Garver: head ... , and John Kerry presidential campaigns < <a href="http:// ... -nasa-chief-steppingdown.html</a~~> <~~> <a href="http://www. ... /index.php?itemid=10183</a~~> <~~> <a href="http://www.

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 3:13pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... ><center>CATEGORY EDITOR CLARIFICATION</

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 3:14pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... CLARIFICATION</center>This market will have the ... NASA administrator is in office.<. Background:

Suspended Wed 1st Apr 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Unsuspended Wed 15th Apr 7:11am PST by

destry [Admin]

Changed Description Wed 15th Apr 7:12am PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... administrator is in office.<> Background: ... Obama's space transition team.<. A number of ... Obama's space transition team:<: * Charles Bolden: astronaut ... U.S. Marine Corps officer< * Sally Ride: first ... , known for science outreach work< * Alan Stern: planetary ... NASA's Science Mission Directorate< * Wesley Huntress: former ... deployment of several science missions< * Scott Hubbard: known ... , former director of NASA Ames< * Pete Worden: astrophysicist ... , advocate of engaging private sector< * Lori Garver: head ... , and John Kerry presidential campaigns< <a href="http:// ... -nasa-chief-steppingdown.html</a><> <a href="http://www. ... /index.php?itemid=10183</a><> <a href="http://www.

Changed Suspend date Wed 15th Apr 7:12am PST by

destry [Admin]

: was: "2009-04-01 23:59:00"

Settlement requested Sat 23rd May 11:26am PST by

orlin

: Charles Bolden

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE54M0ZQ20090523

Settlement requested Sat 23rd May 1:38pm PST by

neuronexmachina Level 12, Guru (H$33,431)

: Charles Bolden nominated today: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/24/science/space/24nasacnd.html?ref=global-home

Settled as 'Charles Bolden' Sat 23rd May 2:10pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: Obama picks ex-astronaut Bolden to lead NASA
Sat May 23, 2009 12:23pm EDT

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Predictions (296)

26 weeks ago

neuronexmachina Level 12, Guru (H$33,431)

predicted Charles Bolden (H$500 at 80%)

26 weeks ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$358,773)

predicted Someone else (H$1,500 at 51%)

26 weeks ago

neuronexmachina Level 12, Guru (H$33,431)

predicted Pete Worden (H$50 at 5%)

26 weeks ago

neuronexmachina Level 12, Guru (H$33,431)

predicted Alan Stern (H$20 at 0%)

26 weeks ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$358,773)

predicted Someone else (H$1 at 27%)

Comments (7)

neuronexmachina Level 12, Guru (H$33,431)

Btw, if those responding "someone else" could comment on who they have in mind, that would be great!

posted 45 weeks ago

tisha

Great question - thanks neuronexmachina

posted 45 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,685,432)

General (retired) Lester Lyles has come up, as well as General (retired) Scott Gration. There's just too many variables on this one, so other seems a reasonable choice, as does Bolden.

posted 39 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,685,432)

Two working days until settlement and Griffin is still in office. Seems like a sure thing now.

posted 38 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,685,432)

Nevermind... he resigned.

posted 38 weeks ago

adammccormicks Level 11, Legend (H$19,399)

I pulled this from here... http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2009/02/24/1807005.aspx

Who will the next NASA administrator be? That guessing game has been going on for weeks, focusing at various times on three retired military men: Air Force Gen. Lester Lyles, Air Force Maj. Gen. Scott Gration and Marine Maj. Gen. Charles Bolden Jr. (who is also an ex-astronaut).

The rumor mill has churned out other names, including that of Steve Isakowitz, the Department of Energy's chief financial officer (and a former NASA official). But there may be still other prospects as well, and it's not clear when Obama will make his choice. "He's got a few other things to worry about," Logsdon deadpanned.

posted 38 weeks ago

themanwithoutapast Level 5, Predictor (H$1,652)

My personal guess: Steven Squyres

I have heard from a total of 3 people that he is a possible serious candidate.

posted 33 weeks ago

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