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Will Australia become a Republic before they get a new Monarch?

Background: Queen Elizabeth the 2nd, current Monarch of Australia (among others, of course) can't rule forever. At the same time, the prospect of Australia becoming a Republic is something raised from time to time.

The question - will Australia become a Republic before The Queen ends her role as their monarch?

If some other event happens eg Australia is invaded by another country, this question would be voided. If Australia creates their own Monarchy, then that counts at them getting a new Monarch.

Settlement date is a year from now, but can be extended if we've not gotten anywhere with either outcome.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
18%
No
82%
Question suspends in 7 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 10th Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 9th Jan 3:34am PST by shojun

Suspend date: Sun 10th Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (15)

2 weeks ago
corbelle predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
19 weeks ago
jobhn predicted Yes (H$1 at 18%)
22 weeks ago
dingoh predicted No (H$1,500 at 81%)
31 weeks ago
noisymouse predicted No (H$20 at 82%)
31 weeks ago
zeebac predicted No (H$100 at 82%)

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