Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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How many Hubdub users will have over 1 million dollars net worth at the end of 2009?

Background: There are 9 millionaires right now, and 2 more on the cusp. But money begets money, and it can start to swell as you get enough to make a lot of bets.

Will the top dawgs falter and sink into a hub recession? Or will many surge ahead like tech stocks of yesteryear?

Stake your claim in the future of the market!

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source - this one!

 
Forecast history %
0 users
0%
1-10 users
0%
11-15
0%
16-20
0%
21-25
92%
26-30
8%
31-40
0%
41-50
0%
51-75
0%
Over 75
0%
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 8:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 0 users: 1%, 1-10 users: 5%, 11-15: 20%, 16-20: 18%, 21-25: 18%, 26-30: 15%, 31-40: 10%, 41-50: 5%, 51-75: 5%, Over 75: 3%

Action history:

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 8:59pm PST (3 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (230)

8 hours ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 26-30 (H$100 at 2%)
2 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted 26-30 (H$200 at 16%)
3 weeks ago
philculp predicted 31-40 (H$250 at 1%)
3 weeks ago
philculp predicted 26-30 (H$750 at 20%)
4 weeks ago
eliminati predicted 31-40 (H$50 at 1%)

Comments (15)

  1 pmk2668
Hope I will get there.....along with a few other pals I have been talking with.
posted 38 weeks ago
  2 hfl13
14 (+5)
posted 29 weeks ago
  3 hfl13
21 (+12)
posted 11 weeks ago
  4 hfl13
22 (+13)
posted 5 weeks ago
  5 eliminati
I'm not sure why there was such a money push into 21-25, when there are 22 millionaires now and 3 people over 900k and 3 more over 800k and 3 more over 700k.

It seems a LOCK that 25 people will hit a milli, and if ANY of the 3 people at 800k+ are conscious, at least one of them will.

Honestly, I would think 31-40 has a greater likelihood than 21-25, with 26-30 being the sweet spot.
posted 5 weeks ago
  6 hfl13
Because 3 of these players are inactive 1 won´t make it. That leaves only 4 serious candidates for the million and they won´t all make it. 65% on 21-65 is cheap.

There are this inactive players on the first three pages of the leaderboard - be careful how you count them in these small numbers & high leaderboard questions.
It usually helps to check their quarterly earnings.
posted 5 weeks ago
  7 hfl13
21-25
posted 4 weeks ago
  8 eliminati
24 are absolute lead pipe locks, and the next 3 are inactive. Hell, I went through the top 30 and more than half are inactive, I had no idea.

Barring some outrageous stretch of miracle predictions by at least 2 people, there is no way in hell it will go over 25. I was totally wrong.
posted 4 weeks ago
  9 hfl13
When tuff started this high level questions 2 quarters ago it happened to me to.
posted 4 weeks ago
  10 hfl13
too
posted 4 weeks ago
  11 hfl13
Someone hidden is betting huge amounts on 26+? That someone should read the comments to be informed about to "resting players" - otherwise it will be my plaesure to continue betting against him/her.
posted 3 weeks ago
  12 hfl13
22 (+13)
kennyk 972K (should make it)
zvassil 932K (will make it)
mickeydaniel 818K (maybe - needs higher pace)
erik 767K (not likely)
sharon91977 763K (not likely)
drzinternet 685K (not likely)

my guess 24
posted 3 weeks ago
  13 hfl13
Only 22 - two month left
posted 2 weeks ago
23 today

Congrats to zvassil
posted 2 weeks ago
  15 hfl13
24 today

Congrats to kennyk

mickeydaniel 862K (looks better maybe )
still no #26 in sight
posted 1 week ago

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