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How many people will watch the postSuperbowl Office episode?

Settled as 20 million to less than 25 million

http://tvbythenumbers.com/2009/02/02/the-office-draws-220-million-viewers-following-the-super-bowl/12010

The updated final number for Sunday night’s airing of The Office is 22.905 million viewers between 10:40p-11:40p (ET). 13.338 million homes were watching, and 14.463 million 18-49 year olds. The 18-49 results come in ahead of all three airings of American Idol.

Background:

Background: Looking at the viewership of recent post-SB shows has last year’s House at 29 million, 2007’s Criminal Minds at 26 million, 2006’s Grey’s Anatomy at 37 million, the Simpsons at 23 million, but those shows were all somewhat more mainstream viewership shows, The Office is not quite the mainstream viewer magnet, so I think something a bit on the low side of those recent numbers is likely. NBC hasn’t had the Super Bowl in 11 years, so their recent history is no particular use. Source and lots more data here

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Less than 20 million
56%
20 million to less than 25 million
17%
25 million to less than 30 million
16%
30 million to less than 35 million
7%
35 million or more
4%
Settled as 20 million to less than 25 million on Tue 3rd Feb 3:29pm PST

Suspend date: Sun 1st Feb 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 3rd Feb 3:29pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 20 million : 15%, 20 million to less than 25 million : 30%, 25 million to less than 30 million: 30%, 30 million to less than 35 million: 15%, 35 million or more: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th Jan 11:36am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Sun 1st Feb 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as '20 million to less than 25 million ' Tue 3rd Feb 3:29pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: http://tvbythenumbers.com/2009/02/02/the-office-draws-220-million-viewers-following-the-super-bowl/12010

The updated final number for Sunday night’s airing of The Office is 22.905 million viewers between 10:40p-11:40p (ET). 13.338 million homes were watching, and 14.463 million 18-49 year olds. The 18-49 results come in ahead of all three airings of American Idol.

Suspend date: Sun 1st Feb 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 3rd Feb 3:29pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (81)

42 weeks ago
hippyboomer predicted Less than 20 million (H$2,000 at 45%)
42 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Less than 20 million (H$250 at 33%)
42 weeks ago
c_me_7 predicted Less than 20 million (H$50 at 31%)
42 weeks ago
msknowitall predicted 20 million to less than 25 million (H$100 at 27%)
42 weeks ago
bornagainatheist predicted Less than 20 million (H$100 at 31%)

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