nuaetius
Will the Spacex meet its goal of a June 2009 1st Launch of the Falcon 9 rocket?
First launch is still a few months out.
http://www.spacex.com/updates.php
Background:
The Falcon 9 is an EELV class launch vehicle planned by SpaceX and scheduled to launch in June 2009.
Spacex has a history of schedule slippages in both the Falcon 1 and Falcon 9 programs, but has recently improved its record of meeting milestones, and has not missed a COTS milestone to date (without NASA approval).
Will Spacex meet its June 2009 target for the 1st launch of the Falcon 9?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9
Settlement details:As reported by Space.com
| 1st Falcon 9 launch before June 2009 |
| |||
| 1st Falcon 9 launch during the month of June 2009 |
| |||
| 1st Falcon 9 launch between June and December 2009 |
| |||
| 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010 |
|
- Activity: H$38,834 |
- Predictions: 51 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Mon 10th Jan 2011 3:59pm PST (42 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Sat 9th Jan 8:36am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 1st Falcon 9 launch before June 2009: 25%, 1st Falcon 9 launch during the month of June 2009: 25%, 1st Falcon 9 launch between June and December 2009: 25%, 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010: 25%
Action history:
nuaetius nuaetius: No launch
http://www.spacex.com/launch_manifest.php
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: please settle "1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010", as Falcon 9's flight is planned for early Feb 2010. (market suspended) 
sqlman![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: First launch is still a few months out.
http://www.spacex.com/updates.php
Suspend date: Mon 10th Jan 2011 3:59pm PST (42 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Sat 9th Jan 8:36am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (51)
predicted 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010 (H$100 at 95%)
predicted 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010 (H$2,500 at 93%)
bernardo
predicted 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010 (H$5,000 at 94%)
zusiman
predicted 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010 (H$500 at 83%)Comments (0)
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