Created Sat 10th Jan 12:06pm PST by 
nuaetius
nuaetius 
Will the Spacex meet its goal of a June 2009 1st Launch of the Falcon 9 rocket?
Background: SpaceX is an American space-transportation startup company founded by PayPal co-founder Elon Musk. It is developing partially reusable launch vehicles - the Falcon 1 and Falcon 9 - and the Dragon series of space capsules.
The Falcon 9 is an EELV class launch vehicle planned by SpaceX and scheduled to launch in June 2009.
Spacex has a history of schedule slippages in both the Falcon 1 and Falcon 9 programs, but has recently improved its record of meeting milestones, and has not missed a COTS milestone to date (without NASA approval).
Will Spacex meet its June 2009 target for the 1st launch of the Falcon 9?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9
The Falcon 9 is an EELV class launch vehicle planned by SpaceX and scheduled to launch in June 2009.
Spacex has a history of schedule slippages in both the Falcon 1 and Falcon 9 programs, but has recently improved its record of meeting milestones, and has not missed a COTS milestone to date (without NASA approval).
Will Spacex meet its June 2009 target for the 1st launch of the Falcon 9?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9
Settlement details:As reported by Space.com
Forecast history %
| 1st Falcon 9 launch before June 2009 |
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| 1st Falcon 9 launch during the month of June 2009 |
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| 1st Falcon 9 launch between June and December 2009 |
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| 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010 |
|
Question suspends in 1 year
- Activity: H$31,084 |
- Predictions: 49 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Mon 10th Jan 2011 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: 1st Falcon 9 launch before June 2009: 25%, 1st Falcon 9 launch during the month of June 2009: 25%, 1st Falcon 9 launch between June and December 2009: 25%, 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010: 25%
Action history:
Created Sat 10th Jan 12:06pm PST by nuaetius
nuaetius 
Suspend date: Mon 10th Jan 2011 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (49)
bernardo
predicted 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010 (H$5,000 at 94%)
zusiman
predicted 1st Falcon 9 launch not until 2010 (H$500 at 83%)Comments (0)
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