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Will Oregon eliminate its state gas tax before 2019?

Background: Oregon is widely considered to be a leader in moving away from fossil fuels. Many drivers have switched from conventional, gas-powered cars to hybrids and electric vehicles. In fact, Portland's Hot Lips Pizza has converted five of its delivery vehicles to all-electric. Many of its customers specify that they want their pizza delivered in an electric car.

This trend has not been completely beneficial to Oregon, though. Gas tax revenue has decreased $4.8 million per year since 2006. Gas tax is a major contributor to the state's transportation projects.

In Oregon's 2009 budget, Governor Theodore Kulongoski proposed a highway tax based on mileage, not on gas. Under the plan, every new car sold in Oregon would be equipped with a GPS device. The device would record every mile driven and where. The mileage tax would be based on distance traveled in-state. It could be increased for rush-hour driving.

Opponents say that the plan infringes on drivers' privacy. They state that the GPS devices could be used to track drivers' movements for reasons other than implementing the tax.

Officials have said that the plan will require several years to implement fully. It will also require cooperation from the federal government or several other states. Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Florida, Rhode Island, Minnesota and Texas are also considering a mileage tax.

Additional information:
http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/asection/la-na-gas-tax4-2009jan04,0,1063687.story

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market concerns only the state gas tax, not federal gas taxes.

 
Forecast history %
State gas tax kept in 2019
64%
State gas tax eliminated for Oregon residents only
32%
State gas tax eliminated completely
4%
Question suspends in 9 years

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2018 11:59pm PST (9 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: State gas tax kept in 2019: 55%, State gas tax eliminated for Oregon residents only: 41%, State gas tax eliminated completely: 4%

Action history:

Created Wed 14th Jan 12:02pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2018 11:59pm PST (9 years to go) details

 

Predictions (13)

44 weeks ago
katelewis predicted State gas tax eliminated completely (H$20 at 5%)
44 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted State gas tax eliminated completely (H$50 at 4%)
44 weeks ago
jarrod predicted State gas tax kept in 2019 (H$100 at 59%)
44 weeks ago
jarrod predicted State gas tax kept in 2019 (H$100 at 58%)
44 weeks ago
jarrod predicted State gas tax kept in 2019 (H$100 at 57%)

Comments (1)

  1 ncosta
This is too far out - bad question.
posted 44 weeks ago

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