Created Wed 14th Jan 2009 12:26pm PST by 
galad
galad 
Which extraterrestrial body within our Solar System will reveal life first, by 2011?
Background: If we ever do find extraterrestrial life in the solar system, it's probably much more likely to look like a few cells than a walking-and-talking green man. Nonetheless, finding any kind of life beyond Earth would be extraordinary.
If there is no news or findings by the suspend date, question will settle as 'None by that date'
http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/01/et-life.html
Category Editor Clarification
Finding existing life, or conclusive evidence of prior life, will both count for settlement of this question.
If there is no news or findings by the suspend date, question will settle as 'None by that date'
http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/01/et-life.html
Category Editor Clarification
Finding existing life, or conclusive evidence of prior life, will both count for settlement of this question.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Enceladus |
| ||||
| Europa |
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| Mars |
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| Titan |
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| Io |
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| None by that date |
|
Question suspends in 40 weeks
- Activity: H$48,284 |
- Predictions: 140 |
Comments: 10
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 5am PST (40 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Enceladus: 16%, Europa: 12%, Mars: 15%, Titan: 12%, Io : 10%, None by that date: 35%
Action history:
Created Wed 14th Jan 2009 12:26pm PST by galad
galad
Changed Description Wed 14th Jan 2009 10:20pm PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... beyond Earth would be extraordinary. <.<br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... /01/et-life.html</a><br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification</b><br/> Finding existing life, or conclusive evidence of prior life, will both count for settlement of this question.
Changed Question text Sun 18th Jan 2009 1:10am PST by tisha: ... System will reveal life first, by 2011?
tisha: ... System will reveal life first, by 2011?
Changed Description Sun 18th Jan 2009 1:10am PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... beyond Earth would be extraordinary.<. <br/> <br/> If there is no news or findings by the suspend date, question will settle as 'None by that date' <br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... /01/et-life.html</a><> <br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification</b><> <br/> Finding existing life, or
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 5am PST (40 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (140)
simpjkee
predicted None by that date (H$100 at 97%)
predicted None by that date (H$50 at 91%)
zeebac
predicted None by that date (H$2,000 at 76%)
benyacobi
predicted Mars (H$20 at 8%)Comments (10)
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Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
American Scientist 44 weeks ago
Things were not looking so good for alien life in 1976, after the Viking I spacecraft landed on Mars, stretched out its robotic arm, and gathered up a fist-size pile of red dirt for chemical testing. Results from the
score: 10
New Scientist 45 weeks ago
the Solar System and Astrobiology Topic Guides Physicist and futurist Freeman Dyson says we should search for extraterrestrial life where it is easiest to find, even if the conditions there are not ideal for life as we know it. Specifically, he says
score: 10
MSNBC 45 weeks ago
assumptions about life in the universe. Click on the image to watch a Space.com video featuring the SETI Institute's Seth Shostak and Frank Drake. It's been almost 50 years since scientists first came up with the idea of looking for radio signals from
score: 10
Reuters 45 weeks ago
or ESA. (Logo: http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20081007/38461LOGO) 'The selections will further advance our knowledge of these exciting terrestrial planets,' said Jim Green, director of NASA's Planetary Division at NASA Headquarters in Washington.
score: 10
TMC Net 45 weeks ago
thank you for the opportunity to appear today to discuss the President's FY 2010 budget request for NASA as outlined in the Budget Overview submitted to the Congress on February 26, 2009, as well as the current status of Agency programs and activities.
Related Tags
http://www.newsdaily.com/stories/tre50e6td-us-mars-methane/
http://www.planetary.org/news/2009/0117_Are_Methane_Plumes_Evidence_of_Life_on.html
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/03/090319232438.htm
"Final proof that Mars has bred life will be confirmed this year, leading NASA experts believe. The historic discovery will come not on Mars itself but from chunks of the red planet here on Earth. David McKay, chief of astrobiology at NASA's Johnson Space Centre in Houston, says powerful new microscopes and other instruments will establish whether features in martian meteorites are alien fossils."
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