Created Fri 16th Jan 2009 2:08pm PST by

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$323,084)

2010 How many states will elect a Governor from different party to their sitting Governor's?

Background: There will be 36 gubernatorial elections on Tuesday November 2nd 2010. This questions is not about which Governors themselves will be re-elected but which states will elect a new Governor from a different party from that of the Governor sitting immediately prior to the election.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

0 - 2

3 - 5

31%

6 - 8

37%

9 - 11

16%

12 - 20

21 or more

Question suspends in 28 weeks

Activity: H$1,700
Predictions: 17
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Tue 5th Oct 11:59pm PST (28 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 0 - 2: 10%, 3 - 5: 30%, 6 - 8: 30%, 9 - 11: 20%, 12 - 20: 9%, 21 or more: 1%

Action history:

Created Fri 16th Jan 2009 2:08pm PST by

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$323,084)

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Suspend date: Tue 5th Oct 11:59pm PST (28 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (17)

1 week ago

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$323,084)

predicted 6 - 8 (H$250 at 35%)

45 weeks ago

aland

predicted 3 - 5 (H$50 at 35%)

47 weeks ago

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$323,084)

predicted 3 - 5 (H$75 at 34%)

1 year ago

chloeburns Level 14, Prophet (H$131,489)

predicted 0 - 2 (H$40 at 10%)

1 year ago

chloeburns Level 14, Prophet (H$131,489)

predicted 3 - 5 (H$100 at 33%)

Comments (1)

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$323,084)

The United States gubernatorial elections will be held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 in 36 states and two territories. In addition, Utah will hold a special election following the resignation of Republican Governor Jon Huntsman on August 11, 2009 to become the United States Ambassador to China. Of the 39 elections total to be held, currently 20 seats are held by Democratic incumbents and 19 by Republican incumbents.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_gubernatorial_elections,_2010

posted 1 week ago

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