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2010 How many states will elect a Governor from different party to their sitting Governor's?

Background: There will be 36 gubernatorial elections on Tuesday November 2nd 2010. This questions is not about which Governors themselves will be re-elected but which states will elect a new Governor from a different party from that of the Governor sitting immediately prior to the election.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
0 - 2
9%
3 - 5
31%
6 - 8
37%
9 - 11
16%
12 - 20
7%
21 or more
1%
Question suspends in 28 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 5th Oct 11:59pm PST (28 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 0 - 2: 10%, 3 - 5: 30%, 6 - 8: 30%, 9 - 11: 20%, 12 - 20: 9%, 21 or more: 1%

Action history:

Created Fri 16th Jan 2009 2:08pm PST by lcsnor

Suspend date: Tue 5th Oct 11:59pm PST (28 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (17)

1 week ago
lcsnor predicted 6 - 8 (H$250 at 35%)
45 weeks ago
aland predicted 3 - 5 (H$50 at 35%)
47 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted 3 - 5 (H$75 at 34%)
1 year ago
chloeburns predicted 0 - 2 (H$40 at 10%)
1 year ago
chloeburns predicted 3 - 5 (H$100 at 33%)

Comments (1)

  1 lcsnor
The United States gubernatorial elections will be held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 in 36 states and two territories. In addition, Utah will hold a special election following the resignation of Republican Governor Jon Huntsman on August 11, 2009 to become the United States Ambassador to China. Of the 39 elections total to be held, currently 20 seats are held by Democratic incumbents and 19 by Republican incumbents.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_gubernatorial_elections,_2010
posted 1 week ago

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