Created Fri 16th Jan 2:08pm PST by

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$279,956)

2010 How many states will elect a Governor from different party to their sitting Governor's?

Background: There will be 36 gubernatorial elections on Tuesday November 2nd 2010. This questions is not about which Governors themselves will be re-elected but which states will elect a new Governor from a different party from that of the Governor sitting immediately prior to the election.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

0 - 2

10%

3 - 5

36%

6 - 8

27%

9 - 11

18%

12 - 20

21 or more

Question suspends in 45 weeks

Activity: H$925
Predictions: 12
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Tue 5th Oct 2010 11:59pm PST (45 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 0 - 2: 10%, 3 - 5: 30%, 6 - 8: 30%, 9 - 11: 20%, 12 - 20: 9%, 21 or more: 1%

Action history:

Created Fri 16th Jan 2:08pm PST by

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$279,956)

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Suspend date: Tue 5th Oct 2010 11:59pm PST (45 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (12)

28 weeks ago

aland

predicted 3 - 5 (H$50 at 35%)

30 weeks ago

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$279,956)

predicted 3 - 5 (H$75 at 34%)

37 weeks ago

chloeburns Level 12, Guru (H$34,409)

predicted 0 - 2 (H$40 at 10%)

37 weeks ago

chloeburns Level 12, Guru (H$34,409)

predicted 3 - 5 (H$100 at 33%)

38 weeks ago

chloeburns Level 12, Guru (H$34,409)

predicted 0 - 2 (H$20 at 9%)

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