Created Sun 18th Jan 3:15pm PST by
bedlam
If and when will US home prices rebound, per 2009 S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-10 index reports?
Background: It has been a long time since the Case-Shiller index showed an annual gain. If and when, for reports released in 2009, will S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-10 Home Price Index show a positive 1-Year change? The report is released on the last Tuesday of every month, and trails by two months. Results and market outcome for November 2008 are per the initial report released by Standard & Poor’s on January 27th, outcome for October 2009 released last Tuesday of December. Any revisions to a report or index will not factor.
Settlement details:As reported by Standard & Poor’s.
<a href="http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.topic/indices_csmahp/2,3,4,0,0,0,0,0,0,3,1,0,0,0,0,0.html">http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.topic/indices_csmahp/2,3,4,0,0,0,0,0,0,3,1,0,0,0,0,0.html<;/a>
<a href="http://www2.standardandpoors.com/">http://www2.standardandpoors.com/<;/a>
If and when will US home prices rebound, per 2009 S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-10 index reports?
November or December 2008
January 2009
February 2009
March 2009
April 2009
May 2009
June 2009
July or August 2009
September or October 2009
Not by October 2009
Forecast history %
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| November or December 2008 | | |
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| January 2009 | | |
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| February 2009 | | |
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| March 2009 | | |
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| April 2009 | | |
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| May 2009 | | |
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| June 2009 | | |
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| July or August 2009 | | |
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| September or October 2009 | | |
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| Not by October 2009 | | |
Question suspends in 16 hours
Suspend date: Mon 23rd Nov 10:59am PST (16 hours to go)
Initial likelihoods:
November or December 2008: 4%, January 2009: 4%, February 2009: 5%, March 2009: 5%, April 2009: 6%, May 2009: 6%, June 2009: 7%, July or August 2009: 16%, September or October 2009: 16%, Not by October 2009: 31%
Action history:
Created Sun 18th Jan 3:15pm PST by
bedlam
Suspend date: Mon 23rd Nov 10:59am PST (16 hours to go) details 
Predictions (18)
9 weeks ago
frogchop
predicted
Not by October 2009 (H$500 at 70%)
21 weeks ago
tuff_sledding![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
predicted
September or October 2009 (H$200 at 13%)
21 weeks ago
tuff_sledding predicted
July or August 2009 (H$100 at 9%)
Comments (2)
Comments: 2
Get widget!
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
Does the question pertain to the date the report describes, or the date of the release?
So if a report is issued in July for May, the winning option would be May.
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