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Will Chief Justice Roberts mess up the presidential oath on Jan 20th, 2013?

Background: During the 2009 inauguration Chief Justice Roberts stumbled over a few lines and had memorized a different version of the oath than Obama had. Many websites-such as the huffington post, and..... well i guess thats pretty much it-have been furious with robby for dampering what was otherwhise a perfect inaguration. It was expected, after all he must have been terrified sayig those words in front of an audience of millions. Hes got 4 years to practice. Will he mess up the next election?
Mess up being: Saying a different version of the oath, stumbling,being asked to repeat himself, ect. ect.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Messes up
11%
Doesnt mess up
67%
Chief Justice Roberts no longer in office
22%
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Sun 20th Jan 2013 9am PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Messes up: 10%, Doesnt mess up: 85%, Chief Justice Roberts no longer in office: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 21st Jan 12:06am PST by dragonfangxl
Changed Suspend date Wed 21st Jan 1:22am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2013-01-19 23:59:00"

Suspend date: Sun 20th Jan 2013 9am PST (3 years to go) details

 

Predictions (18)

19 weeks ago
kgholderman predicted Messes up (H$20 at 10%)
35 weeks ago
blacksoapman predicted Doesnt mess up (H$5 at 96%)
38 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted Messes up (H$100 at 2%)
40 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Doesnt mess up (H$10,000 at 92%)
43 weeks ago
iknowwhatismyname predicted Messes up (H$70 at 13%)

Comments (7)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
dragon, it's 2009 already ;)
posted 43 weeks ago
Hey, its only been 20 days since the year change. It usually takes me 11 months to get used to calling it by its actual name.
posted 43 weeks ago
  3 destry[Admin]
Background edited, and market title changed to reflect actual dates. I can't believe there hasn't been any discussion about the line of presidential succession. Some websites are reporting that because Obama didn't take the Oath until 12:06pm, and Biden took Oath at 12:02pm, with the current presidency expiring at 12:00pm that for a few minutes technically the President of the United States could have been Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, or Condi Rice until Biden was sworn in then it was his office for 4 minutes (his entire presidency was consumed with Yo Yo Ma music).
posted 43 weeks ago
On the news they were saying that the oath was just a formality and that Obama officially became president at exactly noon, no matter if he had taken the oath or not.
posted 43 weeks ago
  5 Erik
destry & jenni> Note Amendment XX (Section 1) to the Constitution of the United States of America.
posted 43 weeks ago
  6 Erik
By the way....good to "see" you, dragon!!
posted 43 weeks ago
Thank you eric... "good" to see you to!
posted 37 weeks ago

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