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Created Thu 22nd Jan 5:13am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

81st Academy Awards: Who will win the Oscar for Best Picture?

Settled as Slumdog Millionaire

Background: Background: The best picture nominees have been locked in for months before the nominees were even announced, and the eventual winner is considered a near certainity.. but perhaps Oscar has a surprise in store for us this year.

My early Oscar predictions
Regularly updated expert predictions

My FINAL Oscar predictions

Winners will be announced at the live Ceremony in LA on Feb 22, starting at 530pm PT.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Slumdog Millionaire
98%
Curious Case of Benjamin Button
1%
Frost/Nixon
0%
Milk
1%
The Reader
0%
Settled as Slumdog Millionaire on Sun 22nd Feb 9:02pm PST

Suspend date: Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Feb 9:02pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Slumdog Millionaire: 75%, Curious Case of Benjamin Button: 10%, Frost/Nixon: 5%, Milk: 5%, The Reader: 5%

Action history:

Suspend date: Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Feb 9:02pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (515)

38 weeks ago
lachapin predicted The Reader (H$10 at 0%)
38 weeks ago
maissey predicted Frost/Nixon (H$5 at 0%)
38 weeks ago
photojunkie86 predicted Milk (H$20 at 0%)
38 weeks ago
maissey predicted Curious Case of Benjamin Button (H$5 at 0%)
38 weeks ago
maissey predicted The Reader (H$5 at 0%)

Comments (9)

  1 nocheesie
i know that it's unlikely anything else would win, but shouldn't there be an "other" category nonetheless?
posted 43 weeks ago
  2 conspiracy2riot
I don't know how anything can touch 'Milk'. Most amazing performance by Penn ever.
posted 43 weeks ago
  3 nocheesie
wait never mind, delete my last comment.
posted 43 weeks ago
  4 capecodviking[Power User]
hmm, three of those related news articles say there's a pretty good chance it'll be Dark Knight...
posted 43 weeks ago
  5 capecodviking[Power User]
oops, this is why i try to stick to real news: But the Batman blockbuster was shut out from other top categories such as best picture and director.
posted 43 weeks ago
  6 buckeyetom
Has anyone seen any of these other movies? C2R has apparently seen Milk. What about the other 4? I live in the quasi-boondocks and rely on DVD rentals.
posted 40 weeks ago
  7 jenniandboys[Admin]
Saw Slumdog last week and it really was fantastic. I'm keeping my money on it!
posted 40 weeks ago
  8 cici
I'm Netflix too. But, if Jennie has $1,000 on Slumdog, just to be perverse I'm keeping my $100 on Milk.
posted 40 weeks ago
  9 dieseldog
Wanna say thanks and congradulate Jenni for handling all the Oscar questions in a timely manner
posted 38 weeks ago

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score: 10
The Oscar Ballot

Los Angeles Times 39 weeks ago
'Milk': Most see the best actor race as a smackdown between Mickey Rourke and Sean Penn. (Focus Features) Play along with Oscar highlights on the nominees. By Tom O'Neil

score: 10
Complete list of Academy Award nominations

CNN 41 weeks ago
Who'll walk away with Oscars this year? The following are the nominations for the 81st annual Academy Awards. Winners will be announced February 22. For more details on the nominees in some of the major

score: 10
LIST: All the nominees

USA Today 42 weeks ago
Best Picture: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button,Frost/Nixon,Milk,The Reader,Slumdog Millionaire. Actor: Richard Jenkins, The Visitor ; Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon ; Sean Penn, Milk ; Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of

score: 10
Oscar Nominees For 2009

CBS News 42 weeks ago
Here is a complete list of 81st annual Academy Award nominations announced Thursday: BEST PICTURE 'The Curious Case of Benjamin Button' 'Frost/Nixon' 'Milk' 'The Reader' 'Slumdog Millionaire' BEST ACTOR Richard Jenkins, 'The Visitor' Frank Langella,

score: 10
Full Oscar nomination list

News24.com 43 weeks ago
Awards announced on Thursday, which will be held at the Kodak Theatre in Los Angeles on February 22. Best picture The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Frost/Nixon Milk The Reader Slumdog Millionaire Best director Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire Stephen

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