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81st Academy Awards: Who will win the Oscar for Best Actress?

Settled as Kate Winslet (The Reader)

Background: Background: The Best Actress looks to be a competitive one, although Kate's double Golden Globe win has certainly helped her chances here. Anne's buzz has been sinking, but there's still a month to go and no telling what will happen in this very volatile race.

My early Oscar predictions
Regularly updated expert predictions

My FINAL Oscar predictions

Winners will be announced at the live Ceremony in LA on Feb 22, starting at 530pm PT.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Kate Winslet (The Reader)
87%
Meryl Streep (Doubt)
9%
Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)
2%
Angelina Jolie (Changeling)
1%
Melissa Leo (Frozen River)
2%
Settled as Kate Winslet (The Reader) on Sun 22nd Feb 8:44pm PST

Suspend date: Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Feb 8:44pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Kate Winslet (The Reader): 35%, Meryl Streep (Doubt): 30%, Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married): 20%, Angelina Jolie (Changeling): 10%, Melissa Leo (Frozen River): 5%

Action history:

Suspend date: Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Feb 8:44pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (445)

39 weeks ago
raidersin09 predicted Kate Winslet (The Reader) (H$111 at 86%)
39 weeks ago
pmk2668 predicted Meryl Streep (Doubt) (H$200 at 7%)
39 weeks ago
pmk2668 predicted Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married) (H$100 at 1%)
39 weeks ago
pmk2668 predicted Melissa Leo (Frozen River) (H$100 at 1%)
39 weeks ago
pmk2668 predicted Meryl Streep (Doubt) (H$100 at 4%)

Comments (3)

The favorite does not always win .
posted 39 weeks ago
I just saw Changeling tonight...She was very, very good! Go Angelina!
posted 39 weeks ago

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