Created Thu 22nd Jan 5:34am PST by

81st Academy Awards: Who will win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?

Settled as Heath Ledger (Dark Knight)

Background: Background: This is another category where the true honor was getting nominated, since everyone knows that Heath will win. Perhaps voters are tired of being predictable though and will add to Slumdog Millionaire's bling here.

My early Oscar predictions
Regularly updated expert predictions

My FINAL Oscar predictions

Winners will be announced at the live Ceremony in LA on Feb 22, starting at 530pm PT.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Heath Ledger (Dark Knight)

100%

Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)

Josh Brolin (Milk)

Robert Downey Jr (Tropic Thunder)

Micheal Shannon (Revolutionary Road)

Settled as Heath Ledger (Dark Knight) on Sun 22nd Feb 7:20pm PST

Activity: H$80,966
Predictions: 231
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Feb 7:20pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Heath Ledger (Dark Knight): 75%, Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt): 10%, Josh Brolin (Milk): 5%, Robert Downey Jr (Tropic Thunder): 5%, Micheal Shannon (Revolutionary Road): 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 22nd Jan 5:34am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Changed Description Thu 19th Feb 6:03pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: show details

... Background: This is another category where ... Slumdog Millionaire's bling here~~. <~~. <a href="http:// ... /">My early Oscar predictions</a~~> <~~> <a href="http://www. ... ">Regularly updated expert predictions</a~~> <~~> <a href="http://newspundits.hubdub.com/2009/02/final-oscar-predictions/">My FINAL Oscar predictions</a> Winners will be

Suspended Sun 22nd Feb 5:30pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sun 22nd Feb 7:09pm PST by

jake

: Settle as Heath Ledger.

http://www.imdb.com/

Settled as 'Heath Ledger (Dark Knight)' Sun 22nd Feb 7:20pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

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Predictions (231)

38 weeks ago

maissey Level 12, Guru (H$40,062)

predicted Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt) (H$1 at 0%)

38 weeks ago

maissey Level 12, Guru (H$40,062)

predicted Josh Brolin (Milk) (H$1 at 0%)

38 weeks ago

maissey Level 12, Guru (H$40,062)

predicted Robert Downey Jr (Tropic Thunder) (H$1 at 0%)

38 weeks ago

maissey Level 12, Guru (H$40,062)

predicted Micheal Shannon (Revolutionary Road) (H$1 at 0%)

38 weeks ago

curios predicted Heath Ledger (Dark Knight) (H$10,000 at 99%)

Comments (1)

pitchedoutsideleg Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,575,952)

posted 41 weeks ago

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