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Will Marnie Pearce lose custody of her children?

Background: Marnie Pearce, a 40 year old British woman has been ordered to serve a three month jail term for adultery in Dubai. Orgnaly she'd been set for a 6 month term, but an appeal court halved that. Marnie was found guilty of cheating on her Egyptian ex-husband last year. She is accused of committing adultery with a British man. She claimed the man was just a friend.

The now ex-couple have two sons, aged seven and four. With her current conviction and three month jail term, by the end of 2009 will it be reported that Ms. Pearce has lost custody of her children?

In comments to the British media last year, she has expressed concern that she could lose custody of her children.

A spokeswoman for the Foreign and Commonwealth Office told CNN that the FCO was providing consular assistance and said the British Embassy in Dubai was in regular contact with Pearce.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. The loss of custody refers to any degredation of the custody Pearce currently has over her children.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
49%
No
27%
No Relevant news by 2010
25%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%, No: 25%, No Relevant news by 2010: 25%

Action history:

Created Thu 22nd Jan 5:56am PST by ryanj

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (18)

39 weeks ago
momma_hall predicted No (H$200 at 24%)
40 weeks ago
designerbagexpress predicted No (H$50 at 22%)
42 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Yes (H$333 at 51%)
43 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted Yes (H$500 at 48%)
43 weeks ago
adammccormicks predicted Yes (H$8 at 46%)

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