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Will any Eurozone country 'debt default' in 2009?

Background: Debt Default is defined as a country defaulting on its debt. The EU has attempted to downplay the possibility of this happening as the Euro and Pound take a beating on the markets. The Eurozone does not include all 27 EU nations but just the 16 using the Euro.

The EU's main finance officer has said: "I don't think at all the risk of default is important. Risk of default ... always exists in the private and public sectors, but in the case of euro area members I don't think the risks are high or are significant,"

In recent weeks the economies of Spain, Ireland, Greece and Germany have been the hardest Eurozone countries hit.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
9%
No
91%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Sat 24th Jan 9:30am PST by ryanj

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (48)

1 week ago
frogchop predicted No (H$10,000 at 85%)
3 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$4,000 at 78%)
9 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$3,000 at 73%)
37 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted Yes (H$700 at 34%)
38 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted Yes (H$200 at 33%)

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