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Created Sun 25th Jan 2009 12pm PST by oppugner

Will any Wedgetail Airborne Early Warning & Control aircraft be delivered to the RAAF during 2009?

Background: Australia became the launch customer for the Wedgetail when in 1997 Boeing was awarded a contract to deliver 4 Wedgetail Airborne Early Warning & Control aircraft to the Royal Australian Air Force (later increased to six aircraft). With aircraft delivery originally slated for 2006, delays have meant that the first aircaft is now not expected to be delivered until sometime this year. Some press reports say November, a recent Boeing press release says March. Will atleast one Wedgetail aircraft be delivered to the RAAF during 2009?

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24917450-31477,00.html

http://www.boeing.com/ids/news/2008/q1/080123b_nr.html

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
61%
No
39%
Settled as Yes on Mon 30th Nov 2009 7:35pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 30th Nov 2009 7:35pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 20th Nov 2009 6:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Sun 25th Jan 2009 12pm PST by oppugner
Settlement requested Mon 30th Nov 2009 4:13pm PST by carpet: Yes: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/defence-takes-delviery-of-first-two-troubled-wedgetail-jets/story-e6frg8yo-1225804219270
Suspended Mon 30th Nov 2009 7:29pm PST by sqlman[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Mon 30th Nov 2009 7:35pm PST by sqlman[Admin]: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/aviation/wedgetail-warplanes-set-for-delivery/story-e6frg95x-1225799939270

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 30th Nov 2009 7:35pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 20th Nov 2009 6:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (15)

16 weeks ago
carpet predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 69%)
18 weeks ago
thecrazycanuck predicted Yes (H$100 at 21%)
18 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$1,000 at 79%)
18 weeks ago
carpet predicted No (H$280 at 78%)
20 weeks ago
carpet predicted No (H$360 at 78%)

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