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How many more Iraq Vets will commit suicide before the troops are withdrawn?

Background: Apprximately 18 Iraq Veterans commit suicide every day.
President Obama has said he wants this war ended and wants our troops out of Iraq.
How many more Iraq Veterans will have committed suicide before this troop reduction occurs?

sources:
http://www.antiwar.com/casualties/
http://www.thenation.com/doc/20090209/jones
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/04/21/cbsnews_investigates/main4032921.shtml

Settlement details:For the purpose of this question the number 18 Iraq veterans commit suicide per day will be used to calculate the number of suicides commited prior to the first actual troop withdrawls in Iraq occuring of US military forces.
If nothing is done by the suspension date of this question...the question shall be VOIDED.
Suicide counting starts on January 26, 2009

 
Forecast history %
18 to 1800 suicides
3%
1818 to 3600 suicides
9%
3618 to 7200 suicides
36%
7218 to 14,400 suicides
52%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Sat 1st Jan 2011 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: 18 to 1800 suicides: 1%, 1818 to 3600 suicides: 9%, 3618 to 7200 suicides: 30%, 7218 to 14,400 suicides: 60%

Action history:

Created Mon 26th Jan 8:17am PST by misterbojangles

Suspend date: Sat 1st Jan 2011 11:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (22)

37 weeks ago
ldmonteiro predicted 3618 to 7200 suicides (H$20 at 38%)
37 weeks ago
bernardo predicted 3618 to 7200 suicides (H$300 at 35%)
38 weeks ago
asutosh predicted 7218 to 14,400 suicides (H$100 at 55%)
42 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted 3618 to 7200 suicides (H$20 at 33%)
42 weeks ago
rogi predicted 1818 to 3600 suicides (H$50 at 10%)

Comments (3)

Thank you for asking this. We all hate predicting deaths, and these deaths seem particularly wasteful and tragic. But it is important to keep this issue foremost in everyone's minds.
posted 42 weeks ago
  2 constable1664
I’m sorry; I find this question objectionable on two levels:

The number of PTSD related suicides is NOT directly related to our continued presence in Iraq - it is directly related to the lack of care provided by the U.S. Military and the U.S. Veterans Administration, however. Suicides will continue regardless of the continued occupation of Iraq, or withdrawal.

This question appears to be created for sensationalism. And it is CRUEL and INSULTING, to every veteran of every war to bet on their suicides, depression, and inability to cope with the sudden change in their lives. Our time would be better spent supporting the veterans instead of wagering on their suffering.

Maybe I'm still a little dinky dau but I refuse to tolerate this level of callousness!
posted 42 weeks ago
  3 kruijs[Power User]
Suicides spike in US Army, to surpass last year's record

Suicides in the US Army are headed to a new record, with 140 suspected cases reported since the start of the year, a top general said on Tuesday.

The cause of the rising suicide rate remained unclear and varied from base to base, with about one-third of the suicides among soldiers who had not yet deployed to Iraq or Afghanistan, General Peter Chiarelli, Army vice chief of staff, told reporters.

The number of suicides was already at last year's record level, Chiarelli said.

"We are almost certainly going to end the year higher than last year," he said.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gbombMoyAEoJL8vBNRSA_lFuowdg
posted 3 days ago

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