Created Thu 29th Jan 2009 10:50am PST by

reuters Level 7, Pro (H$3,320)

Will the U.S. establish a low-level diplomatic presence in Iran in 2009?

Settled as No

Question created by

Background: The Obama administration is weighing options on how to open a dialogue with Iran. An early option is to open a low-level diplomatic presence in Iran such as the U.S. interests section in Cuba, another country with which Washington does not have formal ties. See SCENARIOS: Options open to Obama on Iran in policy http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE50S5UV20090129

Settlement details:As reported on Reuters.com

Forecast history %

Yes

97%

Settled as No on Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:46pm PST

Activity: H$86,994
Predictions: 98
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Sun 20th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:46pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 20th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 29th Jan 2009 10:50am PST by

reuters Level 7, Pro (H$3,320)

Suspended Sun 20th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:44pm PST by

Erik

: No report, please settle as 'No.'

Settled as 'No' Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:46pm PST by

destry [Admin]

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Predictions (98)

11 weeks ago

stephmoreland Level 1, Newbie (H$341)

predicted No (H$100 at 97%)

12 weeks ago

mbvg

predicted No (H$20 at 97%)

13 weeks ago

jamest Level 15, Seer (H$362,527)

predicted No (H$2,000 at 97%)

14 weeks ago

kamyarn Level 5, Predictor (H$1,434)

predicted No (H$100 at 97%)

14 weeks ago

Erik

predicted No (H$10,000 at 96%)

Comments (2)

joelp

This will be a very interesting situation to watch. I hope that Obama proves himself and does the right thing.

posted 46 weeks ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$392,256)

We will only know if "it" is the right thing after the fact (by how it turns out). But how it turns out, depends on the actions of many, many people over a long period of time (for we do not know the final ending). So, the right thing at time A, may not be the right thing at time B. So, how is right defined in this context?

posted 43 weeks ago

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