Created Thu 29th Jan 10:50am PST by

reuters Level 7, Pro (H$3,320)

Will the U.S. establish a low-level diplomatic presence in Iran in 2009?

Question created by

Background: The Obama administration is weighing options on how to open a dialogue with Iran. An early option is to open a low-level diplomatic presence in Iran such as the U.S. interests section in Cuba, another country with which Washington does not have formal ties. See SCENARIOS: Options open to Obama on Iran in policy http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE50S5UV20090129

Settlement details:As reported on Reuters.com

Forecast history %

Yes

94%

Question suspends in 6 weeks

Activity: H$72,677
Predictions: 93
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Sun 20th Dec 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 29th Jan 10:50am PST by

reuters Level 7, Pro (H$3,320)

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Suspend date: Sun 20th Dec 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (93)

5 days ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$94,408)

predicted No (H$3,333 at 86%)

5 days ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$94,408)

predicted No (H$20 at 85%)

3 weeks ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$94,408)

predicted No (H$120 at 84%)

3 weeks ago

kolia39 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,888)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 16%)

3 weeks ago

neopugg Level 7, Pro (H$4,069)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 16%)

Comments (2)

joelp

This will be a very interesting situation to watch. I hope that Obama proves himself and does the right thing.

posted 28 weeks ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$371,818)

We will only know if "it" is the right thing after the fact (by how it turns out). But how it turns out, depends on the actions of many, many people over a long period of time (for we do not know the final ending). So, the right thing at time A, may not be the right thing at time B. So, how is right defined in this context?

posted 25 weeks ago

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