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What will happen to Skype in 2009?

Background: Lots of rumours around Skype.
What do you thing about all those?

CNET

WSJ

PaidContent

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Only official news, final decision.

 
Forecast history %
Long live to Skype and Ebay (no change)
11%
A spin off from Ebay
1%
Sell to Google
1%
Sell to Microsoft
0%
Sell to Cisco
0%
Sell to Apple
0%
Sell to a telecommunication company
0%
Other (sell to other one, bankruptcy, ...)
86%
Settled as Other (sell to other one, bankruptcy, ...) on Tue 1st Sep 11:14am PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Tue 1st Sep 11:14am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 31st Aug 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Long live to Skype and Ebay (no change): 50%, A spin off from Ebay: 10%, Sell to Google: 10%, Sell to Microsoft: 5%, Sell to Cisco: 5%, Sell to Apple : 5%, Sell to a telecommunication company: 5%, Other (sell to other one, bankruptcy, ...): 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 29th Jan 6:05pm PST by iknowwhatismyname
Suspended Tue 1st Sep 10:07am PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settled as 'Other (sell to other one, bankruptcy, ...)' Tue 1st Sep 11:14am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/EBay-to-sell-part-of-telecom-apf-1705255004.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=3&asset=&ccode=

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Tue 1st Sep 11:14am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 31st Aug 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (181)

11 weeks ago
nanotube predicted Sell to Cisco (H$5 at 0%)
11 weeks ago
ijonas predicted Other (sell to other one, bankruptcy, ...) (H$100 at 88%)
11 weeks ago
tim14 predicted A spin off from Ebay (H$20 at 2%)
11 weeks ago
razord predicted Other (sell to other one, bankruptcy, ...) (H$10,000 at 46%)
15 weeks ago
neverumindus predicted A spin off from Ebay (H$100 at 10%)

Comments (5)

  2 lola
Skype founders said to be eyeing eBay company
April 10, 2009 | Reuters

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - The founders of Web telephone service Skype, currently owned by eBay Inc, are interested in bidding for the company they sold some four years ago, according to a media report. Co-founders Niklas Zennstrom and Janus Friis have contacted several private equity firms in order to make a bid for the company, the New York Times reported on its website on Saturday. The fast-growing Skype, which lets fellow Skype customers call each other for free and posted $550 million in revenue in 2008, was acquired by eBay after former Chief Executive Meg Whitman thought Skype could find an audience in eBay's auction sellers and buyers.

But current CEO John Donahoe has said that Skype has no synergies with the rest of eBay, which also owns Web payments service PayPal. Donahoe has said the company would do what was best for eBay and Skype, comments that some on Wall Street have taken as an interest in selling. The Times wrote that it was unclear whether the two co-founders were actively engaged in negotiations with eBay. A representative for eBay could not be immediately reached for comment.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090411/bs_nm/us_ebay_skype
posted 32 weeks ago
  3 scary
Does floating count as 'Other'?
posted 31 weeks ago
  4 scary
Ignore my question, that would count as 'spun off'
posted 31 weeks ago
The word is out: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/EBay-to-sell-part-of-telecom-apf-1705255004.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=3&asset=&ccode=
hence the market is suspended.
Wagers placed after the new broke will be refunded.
posted 11 weeks ago

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