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Will any ordinance fly through air from N. Korea into S. Korea in 2009?

Settled as No

Only harsh rhetoric, and that doesn't count...

Background:

Background: Admittedly this is a bit of a tribute to a Spritzered market I made previously about Iranian missiles... ask an older Hubdubber... but to settle for a yes there will need to be something fired from North Korea into South Korea... bullets, missiles, military ordinance of any kind will qualify. Shoes, banana peels, pumpkins, etc. while novel will not count.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090130/ap_on_re_as/as_koreas_tension

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
5%
No
95%
Settled as No on Fri 1st Jan 11:31am PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:31am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 33%

Action history:

Created Fri 30th Jan 2009 5:32am PST by valornhonor
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 10:36am PST by elly: No such reports.
Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Jan 11:31am PST by sqlman[Admin]: Only harsh rhetoric, and that doesn't count...

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:31am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (87)

14 weeks ago
sdrawkcabton88 predicted No (H$200 at 86%)
14 weeks ago
craig814 predicted No (H$100 at 85%)
14 weeks ago
neverlupus predicted No (H$100 at 79%)
19 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$1,500 at 71%)
20 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$2,500 at 68%)

Comments (8)

  1 oppugner
Does it have to be shots fired across the DMZ to settle as yes or will shots fired at sea around the Northern Limit Line also count?
posted 1 year ago
@ 1 ...
Anything fired from North Korean land or sea, through the air, into South Korean land or sea will qualify as a yes, does not specifically have to involve a shot from land, crossing the DMZ into land again, but it must be reported.
posted 1 year ago
North Korea may test-fire missile toward Japan
http://uk.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUKSP393526

SEOUL, Feb 4 (Reuters) - North Korea may be preparing to use the site of its previous ballistic missile launches on the east coast to fire its longest range missile, possibly towards Japan, news reports said on Wednesday.
posted 1 year ago
A day after warning Washington against launching military exercises on South Korean soil, North Korea focused its rhetoric Thursday on its neighbor and warned of "powerful" retaliation if Seoul goes ahead with joint drills next week.
The U.S. and South Korean militaries are slated to begin 12 days of exercises at sites across South Korea on Monday — a joint annual effort the allies call routine defensive drills but that the North has condemned as preparations for an attack.
The rise in rhetoric from Pyongyang comes amid mounting regional concerns that Pyongyang will test-fire a long-range missile capable of reaching Alaska. Analysts say North Korea may use the launch as a bargaining chip in talks with Washington and four other nations seeking to disarm the regime of its nuclear program.

On Wednesday, President Barack Obama's new U.S. envoy on North Korea warned the communist North against conducting a missile test.

Stephen W. Bosworth, speaking in China before heading for Japan, said Beijing and Washington were united in opposition to Pyongyang's alleged missile launch plan, saying, "We both believe it would not be a good idea to have a missile launch."
posted 1 year ago
North Korea 'has launched rocket'
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/7982874.stm

I didn't request settlement on any North Korea questions as I have not followed this very closely, and I don't know if this rocket launch settles any of these questions. I'll leave that research to other users who are familiar with these questions.
posted 50 weeks ago
  7 flamingo
"Ordinance" flying through the air would actually be quite harmless and perhaps entertaining. One should watch for "ordnance" coming from North Korea. Ordnance is far more explosive than ordinance..........
posted 19 weeks ago
It's almost as bad as my neighborhood.
posted 14 weeks ago

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