
Will any ordinance fly through air from N. Korea into S. Korea in 2009?
Only harsh rhetoric, and that doesn't count...
Background:>
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090130/ap_on_re_as/as_koreas_tension
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
- Activity: H$72,758 |
- Predictions: 87 |
Comments: 8
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:31am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 33%
Action history:
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:31am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (87)
Comments (8)
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Anything fired from North Korean land or sea, through the air, into South Korean land or sea will qualify as a yes, does not specifically have to involve a shot from land, crossing the DMZ into land again, but it must be reported.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUKSP393526
SEOUL, Feb 4 (Reuters) - North Korea may be preparing to use the site of its previous ballistic missile launches on the east coast to fire its longest range missile, possibly towards Japan, news reports said on Wednesday.
The U.S. and South Korean militaries are slated to begin 12 days of exercises at sites across South Korea on Monday — a joint annual effort the allies call routine defensive drills but that the North has condemned as preparations for an attack.
The rise in rhetoric from Pyongyang comes amid mounting regional concerns that Pyongyang will test-fire a long-range missile capable of reaching Alaska. Analysts say North Korea may use the launch as a bargaining chip in talks with Washington and four other nations seeking to disarm the regime of its nuclear program.
On Wednesday, President Barack Obama's new U.S. envoy on North Korea warned the communist North against conducting a missile test.
Stephen W. Bosworth, speaking in China before heading for Japan, said Beijing and Washington were united in opposition to Pyongyang's alleged missile launch plan, saying, "We both believe it would not be a good idea to have a missile launch."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/7982874.stm
I didn't request settlement on any North Korea questions as I have not followed this very closely, and I don't know if this rocket launch settles any of these questions. I'll leave that research to other users who are familiar with these questions.
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