Created Fri 30th Jan 2009 9:30am PST by

ronando Level 6, Player (H$2,986)

How much lower will rents in Ireland be in January 2009 compared to a year earlier?

Settled as A fall of between 11.01% and 13%

Rents fell by 12.98%

As per http://www.daft.ie/report/, the new figures are out. The % in question is (88.5/101.7)-1 or 12.98%...

Background:

Background: The daft.ie Rental Report will be published in mid-February, with an index up to and including January 2009. The January 2009 figure as a proportion of the January 2008 figure will be used to determine the rate of change.

The last Daft.ie report gave an annual rate of change for October 2008 of -8.9% (93.4/102.5). (For reference, between October 2007 and January 2008, rents rose 0.7% .)

Settlement details:As will be reported on daft.ie/report (in particular page 5 of http://www.daft.ie/report/Daft-Rental-Report-Q4-2008.pdf, when it appears).

Forecast history %

A fall of 6% or less (or a rise)

A fall of between 6.01% and 9%

13%

A fall of between 9.01% and 11%

15%

A fall of between 11.01% and 13%

22%

A fall of between 13.01% and 15%

22%

A fall of between 15.01% and 17%

14%

A fall of greater than 17%

Settled as A fall of between 11.01% and 13% on Sun 22nd Feb 2009 4:55am PST

Activity: H$1,258
Predictions: 16
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Wed 25th Feb 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Feb 2009 4:55am PST

Initial likelihoods: A fall of 6% or less (or a rise): 5%, A fall of between 6.01% and 9%: 10%, A fall of between 9.01% and 11%: 15%, A fall of between 11.01% and 13%: 25%, A fall of between 13.01% and 15%: 25%, A fall of between 15.01% and 17%: 15%, A fall of greater than 17%: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 30th Jan 2009 9:30am PST by

ronando Level 6, Player (H$2,986)

Settlement requested Wed 18th Feb 2009 1:47am PST by

ronando Level 6, Player (H$2,986)

: As per http://www.daft.ie/report/, the new figures are out. The % in question is (88.5/101.7)-1 or 12.98%...
It seems the market just missed out on being right!

Settled as 'A fall of between 11.01% and 13%' Sun 22nd Feb 2009 4:55am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: Rents fell by 12.98%

As per http://www.daft.ie/report/, the new figures are out. The % in question is (88.5/101.7)-1 or 12.98%...

hide

Suspend date: Wed 25th Feb 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Feb 2009 4:55am PST details

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Predictions (16)

1 year ago

usmhot Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,376)

predicted A fall of between 11.01% and 13% (H$100 at 21%)

1 year ago

aaron1 Level 1, Newbie (H$420)

predicted A fall of between 13.01% and 15% (H$100 at 23%)

1 year ago

aaron1 Level 1, Newbie (H$420)

predicted A fall of between 15.01% and 17% (H$50 at 15%)

1 year ago

kas2009 Level 6, Player (H$2,702)

predicted A fall of between 9.01% and 11% (H$20 at 15%)

1 year ago

kas2009 Level 6, Player (H$2,702)

predicted A fall of between 6.01% and 9% (H$20 at 13%)

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