Created Fri 30th Jan 2:55pm PST by 
ojw15
ojw15 
Who will be President first?
Background: Four individuals, each in the running for a different Presidency.
Vladimir Putin has already held the post of President of Russia. Having served the maximum number of CONSECUTIVE terms permitted, he is currently Prime Minister while his protege, Dmitri Medvedev, keeps the Presidential chair warm. Putin is widely expected to return as President, but will Medvedev hold out longer than planned?
Morgan Tsvangirai will be sworn in as Prime Minister of Zimbabwe on February 11th 2009, after finally agreeing on the details of a power sharing arrangement with President Robert Mugabe. But many believe that he has already legitimately won the Presidency, in elections on March 29th 2008 - he pulled out of a run-off in response to threats and violence from Mugabe's Zanu-PF party. When will he actually assume it?
Tony Blair served 10 years as the UK's Prime Minister - Labour's longest serving PM, and the party's only leader to win 3 consecutive terms - during which period he was often accused of presidential behaviour. He is now serving as Middle East Peace Envoy. He has been widely tipped to be the first President of the European Council, a post created in the Treaty of Lisbon which would come into being in 2009 if that treaty is ratified.
Sarah Palin ran unsuccessfully as the Republican Party candidate for the position of Vice-President of the United States, alongside John McCain, in 2008. Towards the end of the campaign she was accused, by members of McCain's own team among others, of sabotaging their efforts in an attempt to boost her own credentials for a Palin 2012 run. But she was also pointed to by some as the main reason for McCain's failure.
Which will obtain their respective Presidency first?
Vladimir Putin has already held the post of President of Russia. Having served the maximum number of CONSECUTIVE terms permitted, he is currently Prime Minister while his protege, Dmitri Medvedev, keeps the Presidential chair warm. Putin is widely expected to return as President, but will Medvedev hold out longer than planned?
Morgan Tsvangirai will be sworn in as Prime Minister of Zimbabwe on February 11th 2009, after finally agreeing on the details of a power sharing arrangement with President Robert Mugabe. But many believe that he has already legitimately won the Presidency, in elections on March 29th 2008 - he pulled out of a run-off in response to threats and violence from Mugabe's Zanu-PF party. When will he actually assume it?
Tony Blair served 10 years as the UK's Prime Minister - Labour's longest serving PM, and the party's only leader to win 3 consecutive terms - during which period he was often accused of presidential behaviour. He is now serving as Middle East Peace Envoy. He has been widely tipped to be the first President of the European Council, a post created in the Treaty of Lisbon which would come into being in 2009 if that treaty is ratified.
Sarah Palin ran unsuccessfully as the Republican Party candidate for the position of Vice-President of the United States, alongside John McCain, in 2008. Towards the end of the campaign she was accused, by members of McCain's own team among others, of sabotaging their efforts in an attempt to boost her own credentials for a Palin 2012 run. But she was also pointed to by some as the main reason for McCain's failure.
Which will obtain their respective Presidency first?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Will settle by date of inauguration of the president, not the date of election. However, may settle on the date of a confirmed announcement of the inauguration date.
Suspend date will be extended if none of them has made it by then...However, if none of the members are currently in the running for a presidential position by the suspend date, the question may have to be voided.
Forecast history %
| Vladimir Putin |
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| Morgan Tsvangirai |
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| Tony Blair |
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| Sarah Palin |
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Question suspends in 3 years
- Activity: H$32,096 |
- Predictions: 132 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 11:59pm PST (3 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Vladimir Putin: 40%, Morgan Tsvangirai: 25%, Tony Blair: 25%, Sarah Palin: 10%
Action history:
Created Fri 30th Jan 2:55pm PST by ojw15
ojw15
Changed Settlement info Sun 1st Feb 5:17pm PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... a major mainstream news source. Will settle by date of inauguration of the president, not the date of election. However, may settle on the date of a confirmed announcement of the inauguration date. <br/> <br/> Suspend date will ... has made it by then...However, if none of the members are currently in the running for a presidential position by the suspend date, the question may have to be voided.
Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 11:59pm PST (3 years to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (132)
frogchop
predicted Tony Blair (H$250 at 31%)
predicted Vladimir Putin (H$101 at 28%)
blacksoapman
predicted Morgan Tsvangirai (H$20 at 45%)
nanotube
predicted Tony Blair (H$20 at 9%)Comments (3)
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Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Telegraph 27 weeks ago
The Russian prime minister, Vladimir Putin, has been accused of plotting his return as president after the Kremlin announced plans to strip judges of the right to elect the head of the country's powerful
score: 10
Washington Post 27 weeks ago
MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russian President Dmitry Medvedev was quoted as saying on Tuesday his high-profile drive to cut corruption had so far failed. Medvedev made the fight against endemic graft a cornerstone of his year-long
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Business Day 27 weeks ago
Harare ZIMBABWEAN Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai said yesterday that hardliners in President Robert Mugabes party were delaying the resolution of outstanding issues in a power-sharing agreement signed last year. Issues including the detention of
score: 10
Moscow Times 27 weeks ago
ReutersPrime Minister Vladimir Putin has indicated that the handling of the economic crisis will play a major role in determining whether he or President Dmitry Medvedev runs for president in 2012. Putin, who
score: 10
Moscow Times 27 weeks ago
ReutersPrime Minister Vladimir Putin has indicated that the handling of the economic crisis will play a major role in determining whether he or President Dmitry Medvedev runs for president in 2012. Putin, who
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Agreed: well-researched and nicely-written...
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