PGA - In what position will Tiger Woods finish in his first tournament of 2009?

Suspend date: Fri 27th Feb 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 26th Feb 6:02pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 26th Feb 11am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Wins 1st: 15%, 2 thru 5: 25%, 6 thru 10: 25%, 11 thru 20: 20%, 21 or greater: 10%, other (DNF, etc): 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 31st Jan 9:01am PST by gregmatta

Changed Suspend date Sat 21st Feb 11:10am PST by mrperfkt: was: "2009-03-31 20:59:00"

Changed Description Tue 24th Feb 5:45pm PST by mrperfkt: show details

... ThisTiger isWoods says he has to be on his firstgame ''right tournamentaway'' in uponhis returningmuch-anticipated return to golf in the tour. SelectedWGC AprilAccenture 1Match asPlay aChampionship. <br/> Woods suspendhas datechosen orthe elite event, the thursdayfirst ofin the weekWorld heGolf playsChampionships calendar, to make his return from an eight-month absence in the wake of reconstructive surgery on his left knee. <br/> <br/> <a tournament, whicheverhref="http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,20797,25104221-10389,00.html?from=public_rss">Tiger comesWoods firstgets set for return to golf in WGC Accenture Match Play Championship </a> <br/> <br/> <object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/GSuePNS3tYY&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/GSuePNS3tYY&hl=en&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>

Changed Description Wed 25th Feb 11:40pm PST by destry: show details

... <b>Background:</b> Tiger Woods says he has ... WGC Accenture Match Play Championship. <.<br/> Woods has chosen the ... surgery on his left knee. <.<br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... Accenture Match Play Championship </a> <><br/> <br/> <object width="425" ... www.youtube.com/v/GSuePNS3tYY&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1"></param><"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/GSuePNS3tYY&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" type="application/x- ... true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object><br/> <br/> <div><iframe height="339" width="425" src="http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/28354881/vp/29395856#29395856" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><style type="text/css">.msnbcLinks {font-size:11px; font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #999; margin-top: 5px; background: transparent; text-align: center; width: 425px;} .msnbcLinks a {text-decoration:none !important; border-bottom: 1px dotted #999 !important; font-weight:normal !important; height: 13px;} .msnbcLinks a:link, .msnbcLinks a:visited {color: #5799db !important;} .msnbcLinks a:hover, .msnbcLinks a:active {color:#CC0000 !important;} </style><p class="msnbcLinks"><a href="http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/24471749">Breaking sports news video</a>. <a href="http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/3032825">MLB</a>, <a href="http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/3032875">NFL</a>, <a href="http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/3032847">NBA</a>, <a href="http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/3032803">NHL highlights</a> and <a href="http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/24471749">more</a>.</p></div>

Changed Description Thu 26th Feb 8:02am PST by mrperfkt: show details

... WGC Accenture Match Play Championship.<. <br/> Woods has chosen the ... surgery on his left knee.<. <br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... Accenture Match Play Championship </a><> <br/> <br/> <object width="425" ... www.youtube.com/v/GSuePNS3tYY&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" ... www.youtube.com/v/GSuePNS3tYY&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" type="application/x- ... " width="425" height="344"></object><> <br/> <br/> <div><iframe height="

Changed Suspend date Thu 26th Feb 8:02am PST by mrperfkt: was: "2009-02-26 20:59:00"

Settlement requested Thu 26th Feb 2:42pm PST by buckeyetom: Tiger was just eliminated in the 2nd round therefore his finishing position is 17th as is the designation of everyone else who loses in the 2nd round.

www.pgatour.com

Suspended Thu 26th Feb 2:49pm PST by sdchargers: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Thu 26th Feb 2:49pm PST by sdchargers: Tiger just lost, checking times and correct outcome (market suspended)

Settled as '11 thru 20' Thu 26th Feb 6:02pm PST by mrperfkt: Tiger lost to Tim Clark in the second round.

http://www.thegolfchannel.com/pga-tour/2009-wgc-accenture-match-play-championship/scores-match-play/?v.pos=1100&h.pos=0

http://www.thegolfchannel.com/core.aspx?page=19240&select=10714&select2=6935

Per hubdub rules, the cut-off time is set to the start of the determining game/match. The determining match started at 2:00pm EST
http://www.hubdub.com/public/rules#settlement
2.2.6 Settlement
Where 'season' questions are settled by a match/event which occurs when the market has not yet suspended, predictions will be backvoided until the beginning of the relevant match.

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Suspend date: Fri 27th Feb 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 26th Feb 6:02pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 26th Feb 11am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details