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Created Mon 2nd Feb 4:48pm PST by bigken1

Will there be a new incident of a shoe thrown at a country's leader?

Settled as Yes

According to various news sources, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was on the receiving end of a show throwing incident while he was in the city of Urmia this past week. The incident wasn't covered by Iran's major news outlets, as those outlets are controlled by Ahmadinejad. However, according to an article on Haaretz.com, "...it has been widely commented upon in the Islamic Republic's blogosphere, which is viewed as one of the most developed in the world. It is one of the key tools for disseminating information that contradicts the position of the regime that controls the traditional media."

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1069220.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/mar/06/shoe-protest-iran-ahmadinejad
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/shoe-thrown-iranian-president/story.aspx?guid={536C0008-330D-42BD-BF62-00E8A753C3C3}&dist=msr_2
http://urmiye.blogfa.com/post-262.aspx (Persian)

Background:

Background: It has not been possible for people to display signs at public meetings with sentiments like "Give Peace a Chance" or "war kills children and other living things" as were popular during the Vietnam war, so people have resorted to less verbal means of expression. Thus we have seen a new openness in expressing less than enthusiastic support for the world's leaders, by means of shoes thrown. Recently, President George W. Bush and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao had shoes thrown at them. Despite the risk to the offender, people are really upset with how leaders are conducting the business of their countries, so I certainly think the chances of a yes, are far from zero. Plus the Iraqi was hailed as a local hero for his activity. I doubt the Chinese man received as gracious a reception.

The question is straightforward, will the top leader of another country have a shoe thrown at them before the settlement date? It does not have to hit, but it must be reported as thrown at the leader.

BBC / MSNBC

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
49%
No
51%
Settled as Yes on Sun 8th Mar 5:08am PST

Suspend date: Mon 31st May 2010 11:59pm PST (27 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Sun 8th Mar 5:08am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 2nd Feb 4:48pm PST by bigken1
Changed Description Tue 3rd Feb 1:55pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: show details
... received as gracious a reception. <.<br/> <br/> The question is ... thrown at the leader. <br/> &lt;a href="<a href="/> <br/> http://news.bbc.co.uk/ ... /2/hi/middle_east/7782422.stm</a>"><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7782422.stm&lt">http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7782422.stm&lt</a>;/a> <<br/> &lt;a href="<a href="/> <br/> http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28978669/">http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28978669/</a>"><a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28978669/&lt">http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28978669/&lt</a>;/a>
Changed Description Tue 3rd Feb 1:57pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: show details
... leader. <br/> <br/> <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7782422.stm">http://news.bbc.co.uk/
Changed Description Tue 3rd Feb 1:56pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: show details
... at the leader. <br/> <br/> /> <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/ ... /2/hi/middle_east/7782422.stm<br/> <br/> ">BBC</a> / <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28978669//">MSNBC</a>
Settlement requested Sat 7th Mar 7:39pm PST by gotmick: This should settle as Yes. A shoe has been thrown at the Iranian President.

http://tinyurl.com/awfkmf
Suspended Sat 7th Mar 7:43pm PST by sqlman[Admin]: Checking settlement details.
Settled as 'Yes' Sun 8th Mar 5:08am PST by sqlman[Admin]: According to various news sources, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was on the receiving end of a show throwing incident while he was in the city of Urmia this past week. The incident wasn't covered by Iran's major news outlets, as those outlets are controlled by Ahmadinejad. However, according to an article on Haaretz.com, "...it has been widely commented upon in the Islamic Republic's blogosphere, which is viewed as one of the most developed in the world. It is one of the key tools for disseminating information that contradicts the position of the regime that controls the traditional media."

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1069220.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/mar/06/shoe-protest-iran-ahmadinejad
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/shoe-thrown-iranian-president/story.aspx?guid={536C0008-330D-42BD-BF62-00E8A753C3C3}&dist=msr_2
http://urmiye.blogfa.com/post-262.aspx (Persian)

Suspend date: Mon 31st May 2010 11:59pm PST (27 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Sun 8th Mar 5:08am PST details

 

Predictions (130)

37 weeks ago
andytom predicted Yes (H$50 at 49%)
37 weeks ago
octoped predicted Yes (H$50 at 49%)
38 weeks ago
swbarratt predicted No (H$100 at 51%)
38 weeks ago
alstehn predicted Yes (H$100 at 49%)
38 weeks ago
andytom predicted Yes (H$100 at 49%)

Comments (13)

  1 conspiracy2riot
I'm kind of hoping it becomes a trend.

Great point about how we are not allowed to carry signs anywhere near these people...no, that stuff is reserved for the 'freedom zone'.

Hope somebody has some steel toed boots flying thru the air soon.
posted 41 weeks ago
  2 balcacer
Can Bush W qualify ?
posted 41 weeks ago
  3 rk725
I would imagine this question applies only in a public setting, and it won't count if a wife throws a shoe at a husband.....
posted 41 weeks ago
  4 randburg
We all heard Letterman's joke about "Iran test-firing a long-distance loafer"...
posted 41 weeks ago
  5 kruijs[Power User]
Shoe attack against Israeli Ambassador
http://www.stockholmnews.com/more.aspx?NID=2633
posted 41 weeks ago
  6 bigken1
Things like spouses throwing shoes against "Leaders" of a country, I think, would count, but Ambassadors would not. Not sure if the Bush W question is serious, but NO would not count.. Must be current leader.
posted 41 weeks ago
  7 bigken1
Things like spouses throwing shoes against "Leaders" of a country, I think, would count, but Ambassadors would not. Not sure if the Bush W question is serious, but NO would not count.. Must be current leader.
posted 41 weeks ago
  8 curios
WILL it count if one is thrown at Nigel ,,,,,,,,,,only a joke in the best of humour.
posted 41 weeks ago
  9 bigken1
I guess I hit the add comment bar twice, or else my other half is doing things without me knowing.. me too. , yeah me three.
posted 39 weeks ago
  10 notablenotices[Power User]
Did you guys see that crazy Mayor of Phoenix (AZ) come down to meet Barack Obama with this huge shoe? I noticed that the Egyptian reporter had two small shoes for President Bush, & this Mayor has one big shoe for President Obama!
posted 39 weeks ago
  11 kruijs[Power User]
Israeli speaker pelted with shoes
http://www.radionetherlands.nl/news/zijlijn/6187417/Israeli-speaker-pelted-with-shoes
posted 38 weeks ago
  12 bigken1
Good article on shoe history, and meaning of shoes with regard to shoe pelting, and incidents involving shoes
http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2009/02/116_40305.html
posted 37 weeks ago
  13 oocares
Shoe thrown at Iranian president
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/2009/03/06/Shoe_thrown_at_Iranian_president/UPI-21931236369562/
posted 36 weeks ago

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score: 10
Shoe thrown at Iranian president Ahmadinejad

Guardian Unlimited 37 weeks ago
When the Iraqi journalist, Muntazar al-Zaidi, hurled his shoes at the then-US president, George Bush, in December, Iranian officials declared him a hero and hailed his gesture as a mark of Islamic courage. They were presumably less impressed this week

score: 10
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[KoreaToday] Shoe Attack Haunts Leaders

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are necessary items in our daily lives, and, in many cases, fashion items. Recently, the world has witnessed shoes being used as a weapon of humiliation. It began when Iraqi TV journalist Muntazer al-Zaidi threw his shoes at former U.S. President George

score: 10
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Korea Times 38 weeks ago
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score: 10
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SHANGHAI - Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao is taking a more lenient approach toward shoe throwing than authorities in Iraq have shown. Wen, who was interrupted in mid-speech by a flying shoe during a visit to Cambridge University in England earlier this

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