Will Falcon 1 Flight 5 successfully deliver RazakSAT to the proper orbit?

Suspend date: Thu 3rd Dec 3:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Tue 14th Jul 9:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Jul 9:15am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: RazakSAT delivered to proper orbit: 25%, RazakSAT delivered to wrong orbit: 25%, RazakSAT lost after 2nd stage serpartion: 25%, Vehicle lost before stage seperation: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Feb 4:04pm PST by nuaetius

Suspended Tue 3rd Feb 7:06pm PST by tisha: checking question details

Unsuspended Wed 4th Feb 3:56am PST by tisha: Question odds have been checked

Settlement requested Tue 14th Jul 8:50pm PST by nuaetius: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/31907433/ns/technology_and_science-space/

Proper orbit, Satellite survived. Full win for SpaceX.

Suspended Tue 14th Jul 9:37pm PST by tisha

Settled as 'RazakSAT delivered to proper orbit' Tue 14th Jul 9:39pm PST by tisha: A private spaceflight company launched a Malaysian satellite into orbit using a rocket of its own design late Monday, marking the firm's first successful commercial space shot.http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/31907433/ns/technology_and_science-space/

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Suspend date: Thu 3rd Dec 3:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Tue 14th Jul 9:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Jul 9:15am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details