Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Will Japan's Hayabusa probe return to Earth as planned in June 2010?

Background: The Hayabusa probe, whose mission is to return samples from asteroid Itokawa that may have been collected in November of 2005, has started the second phase of its return trip to Earth. The probe fired one of its four ion engines in a burn that is meant to last for the next 11 months (give or take a bit) and should put it into position to make a final approach to Earth in March of 2010.

There are things that can go wrong however. One possible problem area is that the probe is only using 1 of its 4 ion engines as project engineers believe that one or more of the others may not be capable of long duration burns. If the engine being used develops a problem then returning to probe to the Earth on time may become a challenge (or indeed, finding the Earth at all 8:[)

The Hayabusa probe is planned to land in Australia in June of 2010. Will it do so?

Hayabusa project page : http://www.jaxa.jp/projects/sat/muses_c/index_e.html

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Question will settle as yes if the Hayabusa probe lands in Australia during June of 2010. A successful landing is not required, the probe making contact with Australian soil is enough, be it a gentle kiss, to make a large hole in the ground or scatter little pieces across the landscape.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
75%
No
25%
Question suspends in 27 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 31st May 2010 5:59am PST (27 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Thu 5th Feb 3:05pm PST by oppugner
Changed Suspend date Thu 5th Feb 5:41pm PST by tisha[Admin]: was: "2009-05-31 05:59:00"

Suspend date: Mon 31st May 2010 5:59am PST (27 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (19)

8 weeks ago
cluster0ne predicted Yes (H$50 at 75%)
12 weeks ago
zusiman predicted Yes (H$50 at 75%)
16 weeks ago
rixstar predicted No (H$20 at 25%)
17 weeks ago
vonwalther predicted Yes (H$50 at 75%)
17 weeks ago
deltafriendly predicted Yes (H$50 at 75%)

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Four Canadians battle to be on 'Ultimate Fighter'

an open casting call last Monday in Seattle. The reality TV show's producers did not confirm the other Canadians. The Canadians will join some 70 to 80 other candidates Monday and Tuesday in Las Vegas for the final round of auditions. They will be

score: 10
Urban wildcat

counterparts. The CB is expected to provide fuel economy figures close to 20kpl. Though no match to the Hayabusa in a straight line, or a CBR1000RR or Yamaha YZF-R1 on circuit, the CB1000RS stunning looks, and ample power definitely make it one heck of a

score: 10
JAXA's Supercomputer Boasts 'World's Highest Execution Efficiency'

The Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) disclosed its new supercomputer, which started full-scale operation April 1, 2009. The new supercomputer's main system, the 'M system,' uses 3,008 microprocessors, each of which integrates four CPU

score: 10
JAXA Supercomputer from Fujitsu Begins Operations

-- Fujitsu Limited announced that it has completed a new supercomputer system for the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA). The new system began operations on April 1, 2009. Measuring the performance of the new system by running the LINPACK(1)

score: 10
World's most efficient supercomputer gets to work

previous record holder, a machine at the Leibniz Rechenzentrum in Munich. Ranked below the German computer is another JAXA machine. Fujitsu attributes the high efficiency to high-performance hardware, the Parallelnavi middleware used in the system and

Related Tags