The race for a seat at the Supreme Court of Justice starts, who will fill in ?

Voided

Market voided. Overall I like the background in this market. I have a few problems which hopefully can be addressed and market resubmitted. First, question should be made clear that it will settle based on first supreme court seat filled, since it is still unknown at this time if Ginsburg will even step down. Market options were 90% for a woman and only 10% for a man. While I agree that the court would like to retain a female presence, it is not that likely. O'Conner was replaced with a man.
I believe the market could be cleaned up, and ideally republished when and if, Ginsburg was to announce a resignation. Also one small change is that the position would be Associate Justice on the Supreme Court of the United States.

Background:

Background: Some presidents are handed the chance to remake the Supreme Court for a generation, if enough justices leave. Others wait in vain to make even one appointment.

President Barack Obama took office with a strong prospect that his first four years in office could bring two or more openings on the high court, though he may well be replacing aging liberal justices with younger ones.

Barring the unexpected, the court's balance of power — four on the left, four on the right, one in the middle leaning right — is not likely to change significantly.

Word of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's illness on Thursday, just two weeks after Obama's inauguration, set off an inevitable round of speculation about whether she will have to retire sooner than she would wish — and whom Obama might tap as her successor.

Chances are, Obama's first appointment will be a woman — especially if it's to take the place of Ginsburg, the only woman on the court. And, like Ginsburg, she will be liberal leaning.
Obama would have the opportunity to move the court to the left if one of the two older conservatives, Antonin Scalia or Anthony Kennedy, were to step down.

Kennedy is far less a doctrinaire conservative than the others, having joined his more liberal colleagues in recent years on cases involving gay sex, Guantanamo detainees and global warming.

The new president can only wonder at this point whether he will follow Bill Clinton and George H.W. Bush, who each filled two vacancies in their first four years. Actuarial tables suggest he will avoid the fate of Jimmy Carter, who had no high court nominees in his one term.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090205/ap_on_go_su_co/scotus_obama
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/02/05/supremecourt/main4777619.shtml

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Judge Diane Wood

10%

Judge Kim McLane Wardlaw

10%

Judge Sonia Sotomayor

10%

Pam Karlan

10%

Judge Margaret McKeown

10%

Elena Kagan

10%

Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm

10%

Georgia Supreme Court Chief Justice Leah Sears.

10%

None of the above, but another woman

10%

A man

10%

Voided Thu 5th Feb 2009 4:53pm PST

Activity: H$200
Predictions: 1
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Fri 5th Feb 3:59am PST

Initial likelihoods: Judge Diane Wood: 10%, Judge Kim McLane Wardlaw: 10%, Judge Sonia Sotomayor: 10%, Pam Karlan: 10%, Judge Margaret McKeown: 10%, Elena Kagan: 10%, Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm: 10%, Georgia Supreme Court Chief Justice Leah Sears.: 10%, None of the above, but another woman: 10%, A man: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 5th Feb 2009 4:09pm PST by

balcacer Level 7, Pro (H$4,455)

Voided Thu 5th Feb 2009 4:53pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: Market voided. Overall I like the background in this market. I have a few problems which hopefully can be addressed and market resubmitted. First, question should be made clear that it will settle based on first supreme court seat filled, since it is still unknown at this time if Ginsburg will even step down. Market options were 90% for a woman and only 10% for a man. While I agree that the court would like to retain a female presence, it is not that likely. O'Conner was replaced with a man.
I believe the market could be cleaned up, and ideally republished when and if, Ginsburg was to announce a resignation. Also one small change is that the position would be Associate Justice on the Supreme Court of the United States.

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